2023
DOI: 10.1136/bmj.p1763
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Polio vaccines: hope, hype, and history repeating?

Robert Fortner

Abstract: Announcement of new polio vaccines has once again raised hopes of eradicating polio. But the ongoing difficulties of their predecessors provide a cautionary tale, writes Robert Fortner

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“…More than 800 million doses of nOPV2 have been used in 16 countries by late 2023, reducing the number of (reported) cVDPV2 cases from 689 in 2022 to 364 in 2023. Whether nOPV2 use will be sufficient to stop all cVDPV2 circulation is not yet known, as there is some evidence that nOPV2 can itself produce new vaccine-derived strains [ 20 ]. There has been a recent substantial increase in cVDPV1, which increases the need for regulatory approval of the nOPV1 vaccine with a low tendency to revert towards wild-type virulence.…”
Section: Practical Realities—currentmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…More than 800 million doses of nOPV2 have been used in 16 countries by late 2023, reducing the number of (reported) cVDPV2 cases from 689 in 2022 to 364 in 2023. Whether nOPV2 use will be sufficient to stop all cVDPV2 circulation is not yet known, as there is some evidence that nOPV2 can itself produce new vaccine-derived strains [ 20 ]. There has been a recent substantial increase in cVDPV1, which increases the need for regulatory approval of the nOPV1 vaccine with a low tendency to revert towards wild-type virulence.…”
Section: Practical Realities—currentmentioning
confidence: 99%