Political Party Impacts on Direct Democracy: the 2015 Greek Austerity Referendum

Hansen, Megan; Shughart, William F.; Yonk, Ryan M.

doi:10.1007/s11293-016-9528-0

Cited by 6 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 10 publications

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“…Moreover, we run an additional robustness check to test whether our results might change once we control for voting behavior in the January 2015 election. Previous studies have found significant relationships of vote choice in the latest national election on voting behavior in the Greek austerity referendum (Hansen, Shughart, and Yonk 2017;Walter et al 2018). However, according to Teperoglou and Tsatsanis (2014), party identification in Greece dropped significantly after the onset of the debt crisis, and a new cleavage between pro-and anti-austerity supporters emerged.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 89%

“…Previous studies on the 2015 austerity referendum have shown that the vote shares for the no option were highest in regions with high levels of unemployment and poverty (Artelaris and Tsirbas 2018) as well as on the Greek islands (Hansen, Shughart, and Yonk 2017). Walter et al (2018) demonstrate that voters who expected that a non-cooperative referendum result would lead to renegotiations of the bailout conditions were more likely to vote against the proposed austerity measures than people who feared Greece's exit from the Eurozone as a consequence of a popular rejection of the referendum question.…”

Section: The Case Of Greecementioning

confidence: 93%

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Public support for the European solidarity deal in EU debtor states: the case of Greece

Κατσανίδου

Reinl

2021

Journal of European Integration

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This paper defines the solution to the European Sovereign Debt Crisis as a European solidarity deal and analyzes it from the perspective of citizens in an EU debtor state. To be more precise, we test the conditions under which citizens living in an indebted state support their country's part of the solidarity deal, namely the introduction of austerity measures to overcome the crisis. Using Greece in the peak of its drama as a case in point, we find that the belief in the necessity of the deal due to pessimistic economic evaluations, citizens' support for their country's EU membership as well as economic right-wing positions were clear determinants for citizens' vote in favor of the introduction of austerity measures, otherwise known to be highly unpopular.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 89%

Section: The Case Of Greecementioning

confidence: 93%

Public support for the European solidarity deal in EU debtor states: the case of Greece

Κατσανίδου

Reinl

2021

Journal of European Integration

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show abstract

“…Explanations for the outcome, thus far, mainly originate from journalistic accounts, opinion pieces, analyses of exit polls or political party press releases. Scholarly accounts are still scarce with some exceptions (Hansen et al., 2017; Rontos et al., 2016; Sambanis et al., 2018; Tsatsanis and Teperoglou, 2016; Walter et al., 2018).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Economic downturns and the Greek referendum of 2015: Evidence using night-time light data

Xezonakis

Hartmann

2020

European Union Politics

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Much like Brexit, the Greek bailout referendum of 2015 could have been a watershed event that significantly affected the European Economic and Monetary Union and possibly the European Union as a whole. While the referendum did not live up to the hype, the fact remains that the Greek people decided to risk ‘exit’ and reject their international creditors’ bailout terms. In this article, we explore how the cycle of sovereign debt crisis, the externally imposed austerity and the resulting recession affected the outcome of that referendum. We further provide a limited test for the ‘left-behind’ hypothesis, which has been a prominent explanation for recent ‘unexpected’ or ‘surprising’ choices that have been made at the polls. Using municipality data and novel data sources, such as night-time light transmission, we provide aggregate-level support for our expectations.

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“…For details on the bail‐out negotiations, see Sinn () and Pitsoulis and Schwuchow (), for example. Hansen, Shughart and Yonk () examine whether Greek political parties influenced voters’ opinion on whether to accept or reject the reform programme. On the economic and political developments in Greece before 2015, see Katsimi and Moutos () and Hodson (), for example.…”

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confidence: 99%

How to Handle the Fiscal Crisis in Greece: Empirical Evidence Based on a Survey of Economic Experts

2019

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We asked economic experts polled by the CESifo World Economic Survey how to handle the fiscal crisis in Greece in the year 2015. The sample includes about 850 experts from 110 countries. We find systematic differences in experts’ recommendations. Our results suggest that policy advice is related to an expert's personal and country‐level attributes. Country‐level characteristics, especially credit default swaps as a measure of fiscal stability, predict views on whether Greece should exit the eurozone. An expert's educational background, age and professional affiliation predict opinions on the credit programmes of the International Monetary Fund. We propose that policymakers who seek balanced policy advice should consult experts from different countries and personal backgrounds.

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Political Party Impacts on Direct Democracy: the 2015 Greek Austerity Referendum

Cited by 6 publications

References 10 publications

Public support for the European solidarity deal in EU debtor states: the case of Greece

Public support for the European solidarity deal in EU debtor states: the case of Greece

Economic downturns and the Greek referendum of 2015: Evidence using night-time light data

How to Handle the Fiscal Crisis in Greece: Empirical Evidence Based on a Survey of Economic Experts

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