“…Studies examined, for example, the effects of economic crises (Ballard-Rosa et al, 2018;Drazen & Easterly, 2001;Falvey et al, 2012;Pitlik & Wirth, 2003), the spread of policy ideas (Biersteker, 1995;Krueger, 1997;Weymouth & Macpherson, 2012), and democracy on trade flows and trade policies (Barari & Kim, 2022;Mansfield et al, 2000;Milner & Kubota, 2005). A long strand of the literature investigated the effects of external pressures on a country's trade policy that could stem from GATT/WTO 3 membership (Allee & Scalera, 2012;Chang & Lee, 2011;Esteve-Pérez et al, 2020;Rose, 2004;Subramanian & Wei, 2007;Tomz et al, 2007), international organizations such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank (e.g., Boockmann & Dreher, 2003) or tariff commitments in bilateral or regional trade agreements (Hayakawa & Kimura, 2015;Ruckteschler et al, 2022;WTO, 2011). 4 While these external factors may impact especially tariff protection, some evidence is also found for substitution mechanisms in the face of a limited policy space through tariff liberalization.…”