Despite the transition from chemotherapy with cytotoxic and cytostatic drugs to targeted therapy with monoclonal antibodies, clinical decisions regarding the benefit of pharmacological interventions still rely on the concept of a maximum tolerated dose (MTD). In this chapter, it is shown that a model-based approach can be used in oncology to optimize dose selection and characterize drug effect on tumor growth, overall survival and safety. Furthermore, modeling and simulation also provides insight into the underlying mechanisms of action, enabling translation of the differences in pharmacology, safety and disease processes from preclinical experiments to clinical trials. A paradigm shift is proposed to bring the benefits of model-based drug development to cancer patients, in which biomarkers of safety and prognostic markers of overall survival are assessed to predict treatment outcome and disease progression.
General Concepts and History of Model-Based Research in OncologyModels aim to represent and simplify complex systems. The accurate representation and simplification of the complexity and heterogeneity of biological systems have characterized oncology modeling efforts in clinical pharmacology and translational medicine research (Rew 2000a;Quaranta et al. 2005). Although clinical oncologists can appreciate the value and potential implications of experimental models, the justification for the use of mathematical models remains unclear to most of them. Mathematical modeling can be a powerful tool for analyzing