Post-Brexit trade survival: Looking beyond the European Union

Jackson, Karen; Shepotylo, Oleksandr

doi:10.1016/j.econmod.2018.04.010

Cited by 30 publications

(14 citation statements)

References 38 publications

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“…As this withdrawal will not take place until the end of March 2019, businesses, especially financial services, which are intertwined across Europe are still facing uncertainty about what trade agreements will be like between the UK and EU in the coming years. Many studies, such as Hosoe (2018), Samitas et al (2018) and Jackson and Shepotylo (2018), have attempted to examine the potential impact of the Brexit decision on the real economy by simulation.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Volatility spillovers across European stock markets under the uncertainty of Brexit

2020

Economic Modelling

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This paper examines the behaviour of some inter-related European stock markets under the uncertainty of Brexit in a multivariate time-varying setting. Our results point to considerable interactions between these markets. As evident by the smaller and less frequent positive net total volatility spillovers, the UK's influence on the other markets has been decreasing since the campaign for the EU referendum started in January 2016. Although the shock of the Brexit decision on 23 rd June 2016 increases market volatility as expected, it exerts diverse impacts instantaneously on market co-movements. Although the ambivalent markets adjust rather quickly, synchronizing their movements within days, the impact of the Brexit decision on market co-volatility continues to be substantial and persists. Impact of the yet-progressmade trade agreement now under negotiation for resolution may as well be long lasting on the dynamics between markets.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Volatility spillovers across European stock markets under the uncertainty of Brexit

2020

Economic Modelling

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“…Based on the estimation of the structural parameters, we compute counterfactual changes in trade and welfare relative to the baseline scenario. This approach has been used to estimate the effect of the North America Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA; Anderson et al., 2015), Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP; Felbermayr et al., 2015) and Brexit (Jackson & Shepotylo, 2018). In what follows, we explain the theoretical foundation and econometric specification.…”

Section: Model and Methodologymentioning

confidence: 99%

An examination of EU trade disintegration scenarios

Jackson

Shepotylo

2020

World Economy

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This paper demonstrates the welfare implications of the differential disintegration of the EU. Using a structural gravity approach, our estimates suggest that the rest of the EU countries have much more to lose from the disintegration of the EU compared to a disorderly Brexit. At the same time, neighbouring high‐income and middle‐income countries, such as Bosnia and Herzegovina and Norway, are expected to benefit from EU disintegration under some scenarios because trade would be diverted from EU countries.

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“…The UK potentially leave the single union market as a result of Brexit which means the trade cost from the EU to the UK is likely to increase (Jackson et al, 2018).…”

Section: Politicsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Operating in a highly competitive market means that the idea to differentiate. Brexit uncertainty negatively affect the trade costs (Jackson et al, 2018). A rise in the minimum wage likely means that the manpower cost for the company would increase which result in a higher expense for the operating cost (Marketline et al, 2019).…”

Section: Threatmentioning

confidence: 99%

Product Development using SWOT Analysis

Soegoto

2021

INJETECH

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The objective of this research is to give recommendation for a bakery chain operator called Greggs in terms of improving their breakfast menu selection to generate more sales. The research method uses SWOT analysis to produce a strategic development plan. Greggs is one of the largest United Kingdom bakery stores and performs well in generating revenue as the turnover. The uncertainty of Brexit, the minimum wage set by the government, the highest proportion of people who usually eat breakfast on the go, development of a mobile app, breakfast preference to a healthier fresh meal and reduce sugar consumption, competitor, extreme winter weather, and the government policy have an impact on Gregg revenue. Based on the SWOT analysis result it can be concluded that Gregg needs to utilize the position as the market leader to promote the benefit of high-quality healthy food, use the revenue to start on research for healthy products innovation, use the healthy breakfast trend to introduce vegan breakfast menu, add more drink option for the breakfast deal to make it more convenient for people to commute, keep focusing on the quality and taste development with a competitive price, add more menu that correspondent with consumer demand, and try to efficiently spend the revenue based on priority to cut operating cost.

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Post-Brexit trade survival: Looking beyond the European Union

Cited by 30 publications

References 38 publications

Volatility spillovers across European stock markets under the uncertainty of Brexit

Volatility spillovers across European stock markets under the uncertainty of Brexit

An examination of EU trade disintegration scenarios

Product Development using SWOT Analysis

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