Post-Kyoto energy strategy of the Russian Federation, outlooks and prerequisites of the Kyoto mechanisms implementation in the country

Мастепанов, А. М.; Pluzhnikov, Oleg; Berdin, V.; Gavrilov, Vyacheslav V.

doi:10.1016/s1469-3062(00)00018-8

Cited by 6 publications

(4 citation statements)

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“…The surplus includes Marrakech sinks and emissions from the energy system. These estimates of the tradable amounts of CO 2 emission permits are in line with other estimates: generally, it is estimated that A1-FSU need to use about 70-90 percent of the allocated emission quota (Mastepanov et al, 2001;Victor et al, 2001;EIA, 2001;Grubb et al, 2001).…”

Section: Reference Scenariosupporting

confidence: 77%

“…the demand grows by 2.5 percent yr -1 ) in the reference scenario. However Mastepanov et al (2001), Horn (1999) and Jochem (2000) estimate the potential for energy savings to be large in Russia and the Ukraine. Due to the uncertainties related to the demand we have done a sensitivity analysis of how our results will be affected by adopting a different reference demand scenarios for A1-FSU.…”

Section: The Cost Of Meeting the Kyoto Protocolmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…MEQ 14,4 et al, 2001). Experts from the Russian Government estimate that about 60-70 percent of the emission reductions in the energy sector during the last decade were attributed to economic decline, about 8-12 percent to initiation of institutional reforms in the energy sector and the rest due to wider use of natural gas and structural changes in the economy (Mastepanov et al, 2001), although it is not clear how they estimated these numbers.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The cost of meeting the Kyoto Protocol

Persson

Azar²

2003

Management of Environmental Quality: An International Journal

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Estimates the cost of meeting the Kyoto Protocol with an energy-economic optimization model. Special focus is on the Russian and Ukrainian and the potential implications of the US decision to withdraw from the Protocol. Finds that the carbon permit price can be expected to drop substantially due to US withdrawal. In fact, the aggregated emission target could be met in the absence of US participation. However, Russia and the Ukraine could be the dominant sellers of emission permits and they could increase the permit price. Clearly no climate benefits would result from trading emission permits that do not correspond to real reductions in CO 2 emissions. EU countries, Japan and Canada are not likely to be supportive of paying billions of dollars that do not result in emission reductions. One way of dealing with the Russian and Ukrainian surplus is to negotiate more stringent targets for subsequent commitment periods early, and to allow banking. The model suggests that, under these conditions, early action and banking do take place.

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Section: Reference Scenariosupporting

confidence: 77%

Section: The Cost Of Meeting the Kyoto Protocolmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

The cost of meeting the Kyoto Protocol

Persson

Azar²

2003

Management of Environmental Quality: An International Journal

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…The main reason for this reduction is the economic depression, mainly due to the collapse of the former Soviet Union (Victor et al, 2001). Mastepanov et al (2001) attributes 60-70 percent of the emission reductions in the energy sector during the last decade to economic downturn, 8-12 percent to initiation of institutional reforms in the energy sector, and the rest to wider use of natural gas and structural changes in the economy.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%