2013
DOI: 10.1590/s0073-47212013000300010
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Potenciais efeitos das mudanças climáticas futuras sobre a distribuiçãode um anuro da Caatinga Rhinella granulosa (Anura, Bufonidae)

Abstract: RESUMO. Neste estudo, usamos dois tipos de modelagem de distribuição de espécies (correlativo e mecanístico), com o objetivo de avaliar o efeito das mudanças climáticas sob a distribuição geográfica de Rhinella granulosa (Spix, 1824), espécie inserida principalmente no bioma Caatinga. Avaliamos a predição, levantada por outros autores, de que espécies de anfíbios distribuídos em climas quentes terão suas distribuições espaciais restringidas por aumento da temperatura considerando cenários futuros. Na abordagem… Show more

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Cited by 6 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…As for the climatic changes and extinction of species of anurans, we understand that the peculiar condition of Piauí, and the results found here, strengthen the basic principle of the plasticity of the species to the pressure conditions that the environment exerts and selects. Oliveira & Cassemiro (2013) corroborate our understanding when presenting studies on Rhinella granulosa, and according to the ecological model presented, the conditions of variation of prolonged droughts associated with the conspicuous condition of the species will not affect it until 2080 in case of global climate change.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 78%
“…As for the climatic changes and extinction of species of anurans, we understand that the peculiar condition of Piauí, and the results found here, strengthen the basic principle of the plasticity of the species to the pressure conditions that the environment exerts and selects. Oliveira & Cassemiro (2013) corroborate our understanding when presenting studies on Rhinella granulosa, and according to the ecological model presented, the conditions of variation of prolonged droughts associated with the conspicuous condition of the species will not affect it until 2080 in case of global climate change.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 78%
“…Research about spatiotemporal ecological representations of species has increased considerably in recent years with the advancement of geoprocessing and species distribution modeling tools by ecologists and conservation managers, and thus the need to provide efficient assessments of these predictive models (Teles 1996, Allouche et al 2006. Species Distribution Models (SDMs) allow spatial extrapolation of known occurrence records at different scales and generate potential distribution maps based on the effects of climate change on species distribution (Teles 1996, Costa et al 2012b, Oliveira & Cassemiro 2013.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Research about spatiotemporal ecological representations of species has increased considerably in recent years with the advancement of geoprocessing and species distribution modeling tools by ecologists and conservation managers, and thus the need to provide efficient assessments of these predictive models (Teles, 1996;Allouche, Tsoar, & Kadmon, 2006). Species Distribution Models (SDMs) allow spatial extrapolation of known occurrence records at different scales and generate potential distribution maps based on the effects of climate change on species distribution (Teles, 1996;Costa, Carnaval, & Toledo, 2012;Oliveira & Cassemiro, 2013).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%