Potential distribution models and the effect of climatic change on the distribution of Phengaris nausithous considering its food plant and host ants

Romo, Helena; Silvestre, Mariola; Munguira, Miguel L.

doi:10.1007/s10841-015-9825-y

Cited by 9 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 78 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…Additionally, models on the potential distribution of the species are already available (Romo et al 2006;Jiménez-Valverde et al 2008), and according to several studies their current distribution in Spain will be strongly affected by climatic change (Settele et al 2008;Schweiger et al 2012;Romo et al 2015).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

New large threatened populations of Phengaris nausithous discovered in the SW of Europe

Jubete¹,

Román

2016

J Insect Conserv

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The near threatened Phengaris nausithous is distributed in two large mountainous areas in the northern part of the Iberian Peninsula, living in small dispersed populations. During July and August of 2012-2015 we systematically searched for the species in the southeastern part of the Cordillera Cantábrica. We found 38 new populations grouped into 7 metapopulations. Two of the latter are the largest known, representing 34% of the species' occurrence range in Spain. The discovery of these new metapopulations does not improve the conservation status of P. nausithous in the SW of Europe because a land consolidation project currently underway and an established peat extraction plant could lead to the imminent extinction of the largest metapopulations. However, there is still time to reverse the present course of change. Knowledge of these recently discovered populations allows the establishment of management measures to protect them over the long term.

show abstract

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

New large threatened populations of Phengaris nausithous discovered in the SW of Europe

Jubete¹,

Román

2016

J Insect Conserv

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…In our models, we also considered the interaction of the butterfly with its Erodium larval food plants, in order to improve the quality of the prediction (Kissling et al, 2012;Wisz et al, 2013). We did not consider the mutualistic relationship with ants (Romo et al, 2015) because in this case, ant attendance is facultative and, as far as we know, the presence of ants does not represent a limiting factor for the survival of the butterfly (García- Barros et al, 2013). The habitat of Erodium plants is also generally restricted to mountains, but they have a wider range than the butterfly.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Focusing on the Iberian Peninsula, it seems mountain butterflies will also lose habitat favourability in the future, especially when the interaction between the butterfly and the larval food plants is considered (e.g. Phengaris nausithous, Romo et al, 2014Romo et al, , 2015. Besides, more than 50 % of the areas considered favourable in the present potential It seems conservation of the butterfly and most of its food plants is probably not jeopardised for the time being.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…They can provide information about the consequences of climate change on the species distribution (Elith et al, 2010). The effect of climate change has been studied for many butterfly species, showing a significant reduction on their distribution range that would eventually lead to future extinctions in most cases (Settele et al, 2008;Romo et al, 2015). These models can also serve as a basis for spatial planning and they can provide tools for an optimum conservation strategy (Kearney et al, 2010).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Distribution models of the Spanish argus and its food plant, the storksbill, suggest resilience to climate change

Zarzo‐Arias¹,

Romo²,

Moreno³

et al. 2019

Anim. Biodiv. Conserv.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Distribution models of the Spanish argus and its food plant, the storksbill, suggest resilience to climate change. Climate change is an important risk factor for the survival of butterflies and other species. In this study, we developed predictive models that show the potentially favourable areas for a lepidopteran endemic to the Iberian Peninsula, the Spanish argus (Aricia morronensis), and its larval food plants, the storksbill (genus Erodium). We used species distribution modelling software (MaxEnt) to perform the models in the present and in the future in two climatic scenarios based on climatic and topographic variables. The results show that climate change will not significantly affect A. morronensis distribution, and may even slightly favour its expansion. Some plants may undergo a small reduction in habitat favourability. However, it seems that the interaction between this butterfly and its food plants is unlikely to be significantly affected by climate change.

show abstract

“…This includes considering the internal complexity of the distribution range, with different areas acting as population sources or sinks (Pulliam, ), rather than a homogenous, stable range. Thus, modelling the distribution of species is increasingly being used not only to determine the species ranges but to assess the differential favourability of different parts of the species ranges (Real et al ., , ; Estrada et al ., ; Schröder et al ., ; Barbosa & Real, , ; Romo et al ., ). New tools make it possible to calculate mathematical expressions that concretely define the parameters and the variables that affect the biogeographical processes in nature.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 97%

Identification of potential source and sink areas for butterflies on the Iberian Peninsula

Pulido‐Pastor

Márquez

García‐Barros

et al. 2018

Insect Conserv Diversity

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

1. The dynamic analysis of geographical distribution is relevant to identify the processes that underlie any changes of geographical ranges. This is an essential element of both biogeography and conservation biology. Fuzzy logic, in particular the fuzzy concept of favourability for species occurrence, helps to perform a dynamic interpretation of the internal complexity of species ranges.2. We modelled the distributions of the 222 Iberian butterflies using favourability functions and 92 environmental variables (spatial, climatic, topographic, geological and indicators of human activity). We obtained a significant environmental favourability model for each butterfly.3. We identified the potential sources and sinks in the distribution area of each butterfly species using their respective favourability and presence-absence maps, considering as sources only those areas with high favourability where the butterfly is present, and sinks only those areas with low favourability where the butterfly is present too.4. The source areas for the Iberian butterflies are concentrated in the north of the peninsula, mainly in the mountain ranges (Cantabrian Range, Pyrenees and Central Range). Sink areas are more dispersed all around the peninsula. We found a concentration of sink locations in eastern Iberia (Alicante and Murcia provinces) and in the southwestern area (Doñana National Park).5. This may be helpful when implementing conservation measures, by providing a biogeographical dynamic interpretation of the roles of different parts of the distribution range of the species. Preserving the processes that link sources with sinks is critical for maintaining or improving the sustainability of populations.

show abstract

Potential distribution models and the effect of climatic change on the distribution of Phengaris nausithous considering its food plant and host ants

Cited by 9 publications

References 78 publications

New large threatened populations of Phengaris nausithous discovered in the SW of Europe

New large threatened populations of Phengaris nausithous discovered in the SW of Europe

Distribution models of the Spanish argus and its food plant, the storksbill, suggest resilience to climate change

Identification of potential source and sink areas for butterflies on the Iberian Peninsula

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About