Potentials for energy savings and long term energy demand of Croatian households sector

Pukšec, Tomislav; Mathiesen, Brian Vad; Duić, Neven

doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2012.04.023

Cited by 29 publications

(26 citation statements)

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“…Long-term energy demand models for the households sector [24], industry [25] and transport [26] have already been published by the authors, so here they will be referenced and very briefly explained. The remaining three sectors will be covered in a more detailed way since they have been recently constructed especially to be incorporated into the NeD model.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing the impact of energy saving measures on the future energy demand and related GHG (greenhouse gas) emission reduction of Croatia

Pukšec

Mathiesen

Novosel

et al. 2014

Energy

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a b s t r a c tIn the light of European energy-climate package and its measures for increasing security of supply, decreasing the impact on environment and stimulating sustainability, Croatia as a new EU (European Union) member state needs to reconsider and develop new energy policy towards energy efficiency and renewable energy sources. Croatian long-term energy demand and its effect on the future national GHG (greenhouse gas) emissions are analysed in this paper. For that purpose the NeD model was constructed (National energy demand model). The model is comprised out of six modules, each representing one sector: industry, transport, households, services, agriculture and construction. The model is based on bottom up approach. The analysis has shown that energy policy measures, identified through this paper, can potentially achieve energy savings up to 157 PJ in the year 2050, which presents a 40% decrease to referent (frozen efficiency) scenario. Results obtained in this paper were also compared to the Croatian National Energy Strategy for the years 2020 and 2030. It was shown that if already implemented policies were properly taken into account the actual final energy demand for the year 2030 would be 43% lower than projected by the Croatian National Energy Strategy.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing the impact of energy saving measures on the future energy demand and related GHG (greenhouse gas) emission reduction of Croatia

Pukšec

Mathiesen

Novosel

et al. 2014

Energy

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“…Some research articles have analysed various parameters influencing energy development and have also defined a level of sustainable energy development, for example on a case study for Western Balkan countries [108]. Usually the analyses of various energy policy impacts are done for a specific energy policy measure and sector, such as industry [109], power sector [110], transport sector [111], buildings [112] etc. However, a study [113] used the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LDMI) decomposition method to examine the effectiveness of sustainable development policy drivers in the energy sector in a cross-country comparison approach of three developed countries (i.e.…”

Section: Case Studies Policy and The Environmentmentioning

confidence: 99%

A review of developments in technologies and research that have had a direct measurable impact on sustainability considering the Paris agreement on climate change

Foley

Smyth

Pukšec

et al. 2017

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews

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“…Future energy demand has been calculated as described in [21], [22] and [44] and then combined into a national energy demand projection, according to [43] and [47], whose results are shown in Figure 1. Several energy saving scenarios that would influence future energy demand of industry, transport, households and other sectors were proposed and described in [47].…”

Section: Future Energy Demandmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For instance, in case of the housing sector, described in [22], floor surfaces were combined with climate data and building characteristics, calculating the need for heating and cooling and achieving final energy demand by applying various technologies and efficiencies. Similar approach can be applied to educational sector, adding parameters such as number of students, classes and school year lengths, etc., as described in [44].…”

Section: Future Energy Demandmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Such papers have been published studying cases of Denmark [16], Croatia [17], Portugal [18], Ireland [19] and Macedonia [20]. From all mentioned, we can conclude that a scenario approach is essential for successful planning of an energy system, as well as planning of long-term energy demand that has to be met by the system, explained in [21] and [22]. In that context, the implementation of RES has become an imperative after the RE-thinking 2050 [3].…”

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confidence: 99%

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Wind energy integration into future energy systems based on conventional plants – The case study of Croatia

et al. 2014

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Croatian energy system is currently highly import-dependent and integration of a high share of renewable energy sources needs to be considered. This paper studies eight scenarios; three proposed by the Croatian Energy Strategy, one proposed by the Indicative medium-term development plan of Croatia's Transmission System Operator, and four alternative scenarios that propose extensive construction of hydro, wind and solar power plants in Croatia. Calculations have been conducted in the EnergyPLAN model based on modelled long term energy demand projections in the NeD model, with 2009 as the base year and a scope ranging until the year 2030. Each of the eight proposed scenarios is observed trough different hydrological conditions while analysing import dependency, economic costs and CO2 emissions. After the initial calculations, additional analysis of intensive wind power penetration has been conducted. The Results show that energy systems with a larger share of conventional and nonflexible power plants have more difficulty adjusting to wind power plants production. In case of a high share penetration of wind in a system based upon such power plants, the feasibility of investing in new large combustion plants that will spend most of the time working on minimum capacity is brought into question. INTRODUCTIONGrowing dependency on energy imports, obligation to decrease CO2 emissions, high and unstable energy prices, and increasing age of production facilities are some of the problems European energy systems need to face. In 2010, primary energy import dependency of EU-27 countries amounted to 52.7%, an increase of 22% since 1995, with predictions of reaching 70% in the next 20-30 years [1]. To decrease import dependency, as well as reduce CO2 emissions, European Union is planning increased implementation of renewable energy sources (RES),

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Potentials for energy savings and long term energy demand of Croatian households sector

Cited by 29 publications

References 28 publications

Assessing the impact of energy saving measures on the future energy demand and related GHG (greenhouse gas) emission reduction of Croatia

Assessing the impact of energy saving measures on the future energy demand and related GHG (greenhouse gas) emission reduction of Croatia

A review of developments in technologies and research that have had a direct measurable impact on sustainability considering the Paris agreement on climate change

Wind energy integration into future energy systems based on conventional plants – The case study of Croatia

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