This study assesses the changing pattern of school attendance
through age cohort analysis for both males and females in Pakistan.
Based on the 1998 census data on educational attainment, the results
indicate a profound rise in school attendance among younger age cohorts
contributing to elimination of gender gap in primary-level schooling in
urban areas only. The disadvantaged situation of rural females is
reflected by a combination of low school entries/attendance to begin
with, and high chance of discontinuing education before completing
primary levels. The pattern of school transition reveals that among
those few who have completed Class Five, the chances of staying through
the secondary level are much higher—after which dropout accelerates
rapidly. Two overall conclusions emerge from these results. First, the
bulk of the deficit from universal primary education comes from females
population, especially in rural areas. Second, the key to reducing
dropouts and gender gap in school attendance lies in actions that raise
the demand for schooling of girls, with equally matched availability of
quality primary- and secondarylevel schools. It appears that achieving
universal primary education by 2015, as mandated in the Millennium
Development Goals (MDGs), remains a tall order for Pakistan.