“…Indeed, in the context of electricity markets with increasing uncertainty driven by a growing share of intermittent renewable energy production, risk-sharing close to delivery becomes more important and short-term financial instruments, like intraday and continuous trading, gain liquidity(Knaut and Paschmann, 2017). It is furthermore expected that in power markets with high shares of intermittent renewable energy sources, rather than the day-ahead or intraday market, the real-time balancing market will become the reference market in the future, as it corresponds to the true electricity spot market(Kuepper, 2020). In this paper, we therefore consider the latter as the actual spot market.4 For the purpose of this paper, there is no need to focus on the differences between futures and forward contracts.…”