c o m p u t e r m e t h o d s a n d p r o g r a m s i n b i o m e d i c i n e 9 3 ( 2 0 0 9 ) 283-291 j o u r n a l h o m e p a g e : w w w . i n t l . e l s e v i e r h e a l t h . c o m / j o u r n a l s / c m p b
A tool for neutrophil guided dose adaptation in chemotherapyJohan E
IntroductionNeutropenia is a major side-effect of many antitumor agents, and is often the dose-limiting factor [1] The risk of infection is related to the degree and duration of neutropenia [2,3]. Dose adjustment to minimize the risk of experiencing severe neutropenia could either be made a priori or a posteriori, ranging in complexity from body size based dosing up to utilization of statistical models and various sampling. In this paper we show implementation of a pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic model, describing the neutrophil concentrations after anti-cancer treatment, in a simple tool to be used in the patient care at the clinic. This tool would facilitate use of neutrophil data from the first completed course of treatment in a Bayesian maximum a posteriori process to guide dose selection in an upcoming course. Etoposide was chosen as a model substance, due to it being rather * Corresponding author at: Division of Pharmacokinetics and Drug Therapy, Biomedical Centre, Uppsala University, Sweden. Tel.: +46 18 471 4639; fax: +46 18 471 4003. E-mail address: johan.wallin@farmbio.uu.se (J.E. Wallin).well-characterized and its wide-spread use, and the access to a suitable validation dataset. A predictive model of myelosuppression could be used for dose individualization, in order to avoid neutropenia, a prolonged treatment interval and/or a suboptimal tumor effect. For etoposide current treatment guidelines state that occurrence of severe neutropenia should lead to a reduction or postponement of next dose until neutrophil recovery [4]. The dose reduction is not necessarily tailored to the patient, but usually by fixed decrements such as to 75% or 50% of the original dose. This leads to a one-sided dose adjustment, where only patients experiencing toxicity receives a dose change, but not necessarily in an optimal fashion. The possibility that patients experiencing only a minor myelosuppression are underexposed and might benefit from an increased dose is not taken into account. The relation between hematological toxicity and patient survival has been investigated in clinical 0169-2607/$ -see front matter