Predicting forest cover changes in future climate using hydrological and thermal indices in South Korea

Choi, Sungho; Lee, Woo‐Kyun; Kwak, Do Won; Lee, Sangchul; Son, Yowhan; Lim, Jong-Hwan; Saborowski, Joachim

doi:10.3354/cr01026

Cited by 35 publications

(50 citation statements)

References 33 publications

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“…However, DGVMs cannot provide reliable simulations of forest type distributions in South Korea due to relatively complex terrain features and environmental conditions (Lee et al 2007a;Choi et al 2011a;Kim et al 2009;Kim and Lee 2006). To alleviate this limitation, Choi et al (2011b) recommended the HyTAG model, which uses Korea-specific plant functional types (PFTs) based on hydrological and thermal indices, such as the precipitation effectiveness index (PEI), warmth index (WI), and minimum temperature of the coldest month index (MTCI).…”

Section: Model For Forest Type Distributionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The MC1 model simulated the potential NPP and SCS as an indicator from the 1970s to the 2090s over South Korean forests (Choi et al 2011a). Forests exchange carbon with the atmosphere based on photosynthesis and respiration, and thus NPP and SCS are the important properties in forest carbon cycles (see Sect.…”

Section: Criteria For Carbon-related Functions (Npp and Scs)mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…A comparison of forest types for the two simulations assigned the value zero for ''no change'' and one for ''change'' over the individual pixels. The sum of the changes (herein, ''frequency of changing forest types'') for individual pixels was then spatially stratified and normalized to calculate the sensitivity criterion over the entirety of South Korea (Yu et al 2006;Choi et al 2011a;Lee et al 2007b) (Table 1). The larger frequency of changing forest types resulted in a greater sensitivity criterion for each pixel throughout the whole period.…”

Section: Criteria For Forest Type Distributionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Since the forest type distribution of South Korea is determined by relatively complex terrain and climatic conditions at local and regional scales, the thermal analogy groups (TAG) model (Choi et al 2010) and hydrological and thermal analogy group (HyTAG) model (Choi et al 2011b) are also recommended for climate change impact assessments of forest ecosystems (Choi et al 2011a;Lee et al 2010;Lee et al 2011;Byun et al 2012). Lee et al (2011) estimated forest vulnerability based on A2 and B1 climate change scenarios using the HyTAG and MC1 model.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In Korea, the CEVSA (Lee et al 2007a) and MC1 (Choi et al 2011a) models have been applied for predicting potential vegetation distributions and carbon-related functions under future climate scenarios. Since the forest type distribution of South Korea is determined by relatively complex terrain and climatic conditions at local and regional scales, the thermal analogy groups (TAG) model (Choi et al 2010) and hydrological and thermal analogy group (HyTAG) model (Choi et al 2011b) are also recommended for climate change impact assessments of forest ecosystems (Choi et al 2011a;Lee et al 2010;Lee et al 2011;Byun et al 2012).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Assessing vulnerability of forests to climate change in South Korea

et al. 2015

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This study demonstrated a framework to assess vulnerability of forests to climate change. We focused on how alterations of temperature and precipitation might affect forest type distributions and carbon-related functions. In particular, our framework considered three sectors of forest type distribution, net primary production, and soil carbon storage. Future projections were derived from mechanistic models for South Korean forests under the A1B scenarios of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Forest type distributions were simulated by the Hydrological and thermal analogy group model, while the MAPSS and CENTURY1 models estimated forest carbon flux/storage. We quantified normalized vulnerability indices for each sector. Our results indicate that the overall vulnerability of forest type distribution is greater in the west central regions and southeastern inlands. The vulnerabilities of carbon flux/storage show that net primary production of South Korean forests is relatively less susceptible to climate change, but a highly vulnerable area of soil carbon storage mainly spreads from the west central to the south east region. The spatio-temporal vulnerability map with a synoptic overview from this study might be useful for policy makers in preparing adaptive measures and identifying management priorities.

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Section: Model For Forest Type Distributionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Criteria For Carbon-related Functions (Npp and Scs)mentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Criteria For Forest Type Distributionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Assessing vulnerability of forests to climate change in South Korea

et al. 2015

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Driven to the edge: Species distribution modeling of a Clawed Salamander (Hynobiidae: Onychodactylus koreanus) predicts range shifts and drastic decrease of suitable habitats in response to climate change

Shin

Min

Borzée

2021

Ecology and Evolution

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Understanding the drivers ofSoutheastAsian biodiversity loss

2017

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Abstract. Southeast Asia (SE Asia) is a known global hotspot of biodiversity and endemism, yet the region is also one of the most biotically threatened. Ecosystems across the region are threatened by an array of drivers, each of which increases the probability of extinction of species in a variety of ecosystems. These issues are symptomatic of the issues that face the global tropics; however, with around 4 billion people in the wider region and the associated pressures on biodiversity, this region may be under some of the greatest levels of biotic threat. Deforestation rates in SE Asia are some of the highest globally, additionally it has the highest rate of mining in the tropics, around the greatest number of hydropower dams under construction, and a consumption of species for traditional medicines which is a threat to biodiversity globally. In this review, the greatest threats to regional biodiversity in the SE Asian region are discussed. Tree-plantations and deforestation represent one of the most imminent threats, and some countries have already lost over half their original forest cover (i.e., the Philippines, parts of Indonesia), with projections of as much as 98% loss for some regions in the coming decade. Hunting and trade represent a significant threat as demand stems not only for food, but also for medicine, for ornamentation, and as a status symbol. Mining represents a frequently overlooked threat, as the Asian region is one of the greatest exporters of limestone and various minerals globally, and the cost of this to biodiversity is not only through the direct loss of areas for mines, but also through the development of roads that further fragment the landscape, the leakage of heavy metals, and the destruction of limestone karsts, which represent global endemicity hotspots. Reservoir construction, wetland drainage, fires, pollution, invasive species, disease, and finally climate change are also considered. Once each issue has been discussed, the overall prognosis of regional biodiversity and priority actions to protect SE Asian biodiversity in the future is discussed.

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Predicting forest cover changes in future climate using hydrological and thermal indices in South Korea

Cited by 35 publications

References 33 publications

Assessing vulnerability of forests to climate change in South Korea

Assessing vulnerability of forests to climate change in South Korea

Driven to the edge: Species distribution modeling of a Clawed Salamander (Hynobiidae: Onychodactylus koreanus) predicts range shifts and drastic decrease of suitable habitats in response to climate change

Understanding the drivers ofSoutheastAsian biodiversity loss

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