Predicting Inflation—A Holistic Approach

Avdiu, Kujtim; Unger, Stephan

doi:10.3390/jrfm15040151

Cited by 5 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 21 publications

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“…There is a lot of uncertainty in the market concerning inflation forecasts because of these issues together. Inflation may be predicted using a variety of mathematical models that take into account changes in the economy [32,33].…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“The Three Evils”: Inflation, Poverty and Unemployment’s Shadow on Economic Progress—A Novel Exploration from the Asymmetric Technique

2022

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The primary goal of this analysis was to determine the impact of inflation, poverty, unemployment, and population growth on economic growth in Pakistan using time series data from 1986 to 2020. The stationarity for the variables was tested through unit root testing, while the asymmetric (NARDL) technique was applied to expose the association amid the variables via short-run and long-run dynamics. The outcomes show that (1) variable inflation and poverty have adversative linkages to economic growth, (2) unemployment has a positive association with economic growth, and (3) variable population growth showed a negative association via short-run and long-run dynamics. Inflation, poverty and unemployment are now emerging issues in the Pakistan. The Pakistani economy has been determined to have a strong and negative link between inflation and economic growth. After a certain point, generalized inflation seems to be harmful to economic growth in the country. New governmental strategies and policies are required to tackle this issue in order to boost economic progress.

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Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“The Three Evils”: Inflation, Poverty and Unemployment’s Shadow on Economic Progress—A Novel Exploration from the Asymmetric Technique

2022

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“…Before, Ebiwonjumi et al (2022) examined the presence of multicollinearity using the variance inflation factor (VIF) for the explanatory components in Nigeria's economic determinant, whereas Avdiu and Stephan (2022) used VIF to predict US inflation. Because all models employed the same independent variables (see Table 5), this study's additional robustness test based on VIF findings revealed that all independent variables had a VIF value less than 10, indicating that they were free of multicollinearity.…”

Section: Robustness and Correlation Testsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Volatility and Stability of ESG Equity in Indonesia toward Internal and External Shocks

Gunawan¹,

Firdaus

Siregar

et al. 2022

IJIEF

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The Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) index is rising in popularity globally especially in Indonesia. This study attempts to prove that ESG equity is less volatile than non-ESG equity, since specific components of ESG are essentially parts of the Shariah values. Using data from 2009 through 2020, the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) method was utilized to further investigate the link between ESG and other endogenous variables such as the DJIM (Dow Jones Islamic Market), Fed rate, JCI (Jakarta Composite Index) index, exchange rate, and BI rate. The results show that all internal and external variables significantly influence ESG equity in very low magnitude, except for DJIM negatively and Fed rate positively. However, the IRF findings reveal what transpired to the ESG equity, which was able to endure shocks from both internal and external simultaneously, and to stabilize more swiftly. Moreover, the FEVD results shows that all internal and external variables have little impact to ESG equity totaling less than 9 per cent. Meanwhile, the impact of the same variables to non-ESG equity, i.e., JCI and DJIM, are higher at 38 per cent and 13 per cent, respectively. In addition, ESG equity tends to have a dominant influence on other non-ESG equity. Therefore, the Indonesian stock market will be more stable if ethical investing norms, such as ESG equity, are followed, which will be more judicious in order to achieve long-term growth.

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“…It created the algorithm for minimizing the present value of the cycle's total cost. Furthermore, we may refer to articles [22][23][24] for the effect of money inflation on arriving at either optimal total cost or profit. In our review of past literature on the two-warehouse single-product inventory model, due importance is not given to the real-time situation of three-slot partial payment policies or the effect of money inflation offered by the supplier, which is a discount in the prior payment and a penalty in the posterior payment, apart from the partial amount paid at the epoch of the replenishment point.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effect of Inflation and Permitted Three-Slot Payment on Two-Warehouse Inventory System with Stock-Dependent Demand and Partial Backlogging

et al. 2022

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This study examines the effect of monetary inflation for a two-warehouse single-product inventory system, in which items are stored in a limited capacity Own Warehouse (OW) and an unlimited capacity Rental Warehouse (RW). Demand for an item is considered stock dependent. Items may deteriorate at a different constant rate in both warehouses. Shortages are allowed in the stock-out period and are partially backlogged and satisfied in the next replenishment point. The supplier permits flexible payment options for the retailer to pay the amount in three equal payments at different time points. The retailers’ preferred payment option is as follows: the first payment is prior to the replenishment point with some discount; the second payment is one-third of the total purchasing cost, which is paid at the time of the replenishment epoch; and the third payment is after the replenishment point and before the start of the next cycle, with some penalty. The influence of inflation on the cost calculation is considered, and an analytic expression for optimal minimal cost is explicitly derived from this. We performed arrived sensitivity analysis to discern the effects of the inflation and backlogging rates, as well as the effects of the discount rate on purchasing cost, and the effects of penalties upon the late payment of purchasing costs in optimizing the total cost.

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Predicting Inflation—A Holistic Approach

Cited by 5 publications

References 21 publications

“The Three Evils”: Inflation, Poverty and Unemployment’s Shadow on Economic Progress—A Novel Exploration from the Asymmetric Technique

“The Three Evils”: Inflation, Poverty and Unemployment’s Shadow on Economic Progress—A Novel Exploration from the Asymmetric Technique

Volatility and Stability of ESG Equity in Indonesia toward Internal and External Shocks

Effect of Inflation and Permitted Three-Slot Payment on Two-Warehouse Inventory System with Stock-Dependent Demand and Partial Backlogging

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