Predicting mortality, hospital length of stay and need for surgery in pediatric trauma patients

Yousefzadeh-Chabok, Shahrokh; taklimie, Fatemeh Ranjbar; Malekpouri, Reza; Razzaghi, Alireza

doi:10.1016/j.cjtee.2017.04.011

Cited by 23 publications

(14 citation statements)

References 22 publications

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“…As for secondary outcomes, all three trauma scores demonstrated a linear correlation with hospital length of stay after adjusting for age, gender, and trauma mechanism (Table 4). This result was similar to a previous study in China that showed that increased ISS and decreased RTS were correlated with an increased length of hospital stay [38].…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 92%

“…The cutoff values selected from the ROC analysis of ISS, GCS, and RTS were 15, 11, and 7, respectively. A similar cutoff value for ISS was reported in a previous study by Yousefzadeh Chabok et al [38]. Both the sensitivity and specificity for mortality prediction regarding the selected cutoff values from each trauma score system were high (Table 5).…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 79%

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Comparison of Injury Severity Score, Glasgow Coma Scale, and Revised Trauma Score in Predicting the Mortality and Prolonged ICU Stay of Traumatic Young Children: A Cross-Sectional Retrospective Study

Huang

Hsieh

et al. 2019

Emergency Medicine International

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Introduction The purpose of this study was to examine the capacity of commonly used trauma scoring systems such as the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), Injury Severity Score (ISS), and Revised Trauma Score (RTS) to predict outcomes in young children with traumatic injuries. Methods This retrospective study was conducted for the period from 2009 to 2016 in Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Medical Hospital, a level I trauma center. We included all children under the age of 6 years admitted to the hospital via the emergency department with any traumatic injury and compared the trauma scores of GCS, ISS, and RTS on patients' outcome. The primary outcomes were mortality and prolonged Intensive Care Unit (ICU) stay, with the latter defined as an ICU stay longer than 14 days. The secondary outcome was the hospital length of stay (HLOS). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was also adopted with the value of the area under the ROC curve (AUC) for comparing trauma score prediction with patient mortality. Cutoff values from each trauma score for mortality prediction were also measured by determining the point along the ROC curve where Youden's index was maximum. Results We included a total of 938 patients in this study, with a mean age of 3.1 ± 1.82 years. The mortality rate was 0.9%, and 93 (9.9%) patients had a prolonged ICU stay. An elevated ISS (34 ± 19.9 vs. 5 ± 5.1, p=0.004), lower GCS (8 ± 5.0 vs. 15 ± 1.3, p=0.006), and lower RTS (5.58 ± 1.498 vs. 7.64 ± 0.640, p=0.006) were all associated with mortality. All three scores were considered to be independent risk factors of mortality and prolonged ICU stay and had a linear correlation with increased HLOS. With regard to predicting mortality, ISS has the highest AUC value (ISS: 0.975; GCS: 0.864; and RTS: 0.899). The prediction cutoff values of ISS, GCS, and RTS on mortality were 15, 11, and 7, respectively. Conclusion Regarding traumatic injuries in young children, worse ISS, GCS, and RTS were all associated with increased mortality, prolonged ICU stay, and longer hospital LOS. Of these scoring systems, ISS was the best at predicting mortality.

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Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 92%

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 79%

Comparison of Injury Severity Score, Glasgow Coma Scale, and Revised Trauma Score in Predicting the Mortality and Prolonged ICU Stay of Traumatic Young Children: A Cross-Sectional Retrospective Study

Huang

Hsieh

et al. 2019

Emergency Medicine International

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“…In this study, we present retrospectively analyzed data from a total of 88 cases of pediatric PT admitted to our level 1 trauma center. Epidemiological exploration revealed road traffic-associated accidents as the most frequent type of accident in our study population followed by falls from large height, similar to findings from previous publications on pediatric PT (3, 6, 18). A significant association of the incidence of thorax trauma and lung contusions with the stratified ISS was found.…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 90%

The Prognostic Value of Troponin in Pediatric Polytrauma

et al. 2019

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Introduction: Severe trauma accounts for a great number of deaths among children and adolescents. The diagnostic value of troponin serum levels of severely injured patients has been reported for adults, but data on pediatric polytrauma (PT) are scarce. Therefore, we conducted a retrospective monocentered study analyzing the prognostic value of troponin T (TnT) in pediatric trauma patients at the time point of hospital admission.Methods: Data of 88 polytraumatized pediatric patients admitted to the emergency room of the University Hospital of Ulm, Germany, between 2007 and 2016 were analyzed retrospectively. The data source was the written and digital patient records. Interleukin-6 (IL-6), creatine kinase activity (CK activity), and lactate and TnT levels were measured by a certified clinical diagnostic laboratory; and patients were stratified for the Injury Severity Score (ISS). The prognostic value for lung contusion, organ dysfunction, and fatal outcome was statistically explored. The study was approved by the independent ethical committee of the University of Ulm (#44/18).Results: TnT levels were significantly increased in patients after severe PT compared with mild or moderate trauma severity as assessed by ISS values. Patients with TnT levels above the cutoff showed significantly increased levels of IL-6 and CK activity and a significantly prolonged stay in the intensive care unit. However, TnT levels did not correlate with absolute ISS values. TnT levels were significantly increased in patients with chest trauma and lung contusion. The incidence of lung contusion was associated with elevation of TnT. So was the onset of organ dysfunction, defined as a Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score ≥ 2 and fatal outcome, with a significant enhancement of plasma levels in children with organ dysfunction and in non-survivors.Conclusion: These descriptive data suggest that evaluation of TnT on admission of multiply injured children may help in predicting severity of injury and mortality in the clinical course after trauma and thus may be a useful addition to established prognostic parameters in the future.

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“…). Following assessment, 68 articles, involving 708 032 patients across 71 LMICs, were included in the review ( Tables S1 and S2 , supporting information). Country‐specific patient numbers were reported in 60 studies but were absent from six and two provided total LMIC patient numbers only.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Outcomes following cancer surgery were common topics, including breast, gastric, colorectal and prostate cancer, and hepatocellular carcinoma. Cardiac surgery, caesarean section and genitourinary fistula were also well represented in included articles, whereas clinical presentations included burn management, trauma, appendicitis, groin hernias and orthopaedic fracture management.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Systematic review of the use of big data to improve surgery in low- and middle-income countries

Knight

Ots

Maimbo

et al. 2019

British Journal of Surgery

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Background Technological advances have led to the generation of large amounts of data, both in surgical research and practice. Despite this, it is unclear how much originates in low‐ and middle‐income countries (LMICs) and what barriers exist to the use of such data in improving surgical care. The aim of this review was to capture the extent and impact of programmes that use large volumes of patient data on surgical care in LMICs. Methods A PRISMA‐compliant systematic literature review of PubMed, Embase and Google Scholar was performed in August 2018. Prospective studies collecting large volumes of patient‐level data within LMIC settings were included and evaluated qualitatively. Results A total of 68 studies were included from 71 LMICs, involving 708 032 patients. The number of patients in included studies varied widely (from 335 to 428 346), with 25 reporting data on 3000 or more LMIC patients. Patient inclusion in large‐data studies in LMICs has increased dramatically since 2015. Studies predominantly involved Brazil, China, India and Thailand, with low patient numbers from Africa and Latin America. Outcomes after surgery were commonly the focus (33 studies); very few large studies looked at access to surgical care or patient expenditure. The use of large data sets specifically to improve surgical outcomes in LMICs is currently limited. Conclusion Large volumes of data are becoming more common and provide a strong foundation for continuing investigation. Future studies should address questions more specific to surgery.

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Predicting mortality, hospital length of stay and need for surgery in pediatric trauma patients

Cited by 23 publications

References 22 publications

Comparison of Injury Severity Score, Glasgow Coma Scale, and Revised Trauma Score in Predicting the Mortality and Prolonged ICU Stay of Traumatic Young Children: A Cross-Sectional Retrospective Study

Comparison of Injury Severity Score, Glasgow Coma Scale, and Revised Trauma Score in Predicting the Mortality and Prolonged ICU Stay of Traumatic Young Children: A Cross-Sectional Retrospective Study

The Prognostic Value of Troponin in Pediatric Polytrauma

Systematic review of the use of big data to improve surgery in low- and middle-income countries

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