Predicting risks of uncharacteristic wildfires: Application of the risk assessment process

Fairbrother, Anne; Turnley, Jessica Glicken

doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2005.01.026

Cited by 71 publications

(58 citation statements)

References 18 publications

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“…The two primary analytical components are exposure analysis, which explores the predicted scale and spatiotemporal relationships of causative risk factors, and effects analysis, which explores the response of HVRAs to varying levels of the risk factors (Fairbrother & Turnley, 2005). Risk characterization integrates information from exposure analysis and effects analysis to formulate a conclusion about risk.…”

Section: Wildfire Riskmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Estimating resource response to wildfire is a crucial step for quantitative risk assessment (Fairbrother & Turnley, 2005), and yet is also one of the most challenging steps. Effects analysis is made difficult by the scientific uncertainty and lack of data/information surrounding wildfire effects on non-market resources; specifically in that limited scientific understanding challenges characterization of marginal ecological changes, and further in that economic methods are immature for broad scale monetization of such changes Venn & Calkin, 2011).…”

Section: Fire Effects Analysis and Incorporation Of Expert Judgmentmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

The Science and Opportunity of Wildfire Risk Assessment

Thompson¹,

Ager²,

Finney³

et al. 2012

Novel Approaches and Their Applications in Risk Assessment

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Section: Wildfire Riskmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Fire Effects Analysis and Incorporation Of Expert Judgmentmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Science and Opportunity of Wildfire Risk Assessment

Thompson¹,

Ager²,

Finney³

et al. 2012

Novel Approaches and Their Applications in Risk Assessment

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

“…Hazard and risk assessment are increasingly part of urban and regional planning policies, with spatial analysis, frequently supported by remote sensing data, serving to assess the probability of loss in a given area and for given time periods due to environmental hazards. In particular, policies designed to limit losses due to floods or wildfires are employed and aided by RS data [38,39]. Remote sensing has also become a critical tool for hazard types that are more difficult to assess, such as seismic hazards.…”

Section: Disaster Risk Managementmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Function of Remote Sensing in Support of Environmental Policy

et al. 2010

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Limited awareness of environmental remote sensing's potential ability to support environmental policy development constrains the technology's utilization. This paper reviews the potential of earth observation from the perspective of environmental policy. A literature review of "remote sensing and policy" revealed that while the number of publications in this field increased almost twice as rapidly as that of remote sensing literature as a whole (15.3 versus 8.8% yr −1 ), there is apparently little academic interest in the societal contribution of environmental remote sensing. This is because none of the more than 300 peer reviewed papers described actual policy support. This paper describes and discusses the potential, actual support, and limitations of earth observation with respect to supporting the various stages of environmental policy development. Examples are given of the use of remote sensing in problem identification and policy formulation, policy implementation, and policy control and evaluation. While initially, remote sensing contributed primarily to the identification of environmental problems and policy implementation, more recently, interest expanded to applications in policy control and evaluation. The paper concludes that the potential of earth observation to control and OPEN ACCESSRemote Sensing 2010, 2 1732 evaluate, and thus assess the efficiency and effectiveness of policy, offers the possibility of strengthening governance.

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“…These steps are often referred to as exposure analysis and effects analysis, respectively (Fairbrother and Turnley 2005). In our formulation, the components required to generate wildfire risk estimates are burn probability maps generated from wildfire simulation models, spatially identified resources, and response functions describing the impact of fire on the resource(s) in question.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Integrated national-scale assessment of wildfire risk to human and ecological values

Thompson

Calkin

Finney

et al. 2011

Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess

137

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The spatial, temporal, and social dimensions of wildfire risk are challenging U.S. federal land management agencies to meet societal needs while maintaining the health of the lands they manage. In this paper we present a quantitative, geospatial wildfire risk assessment tool, developed in response to demands for improved risk-based decision frameworks. The methodology leverages off recent and significant advancements in wildfire simulation models and geospatial data acquisition and management. The tool is intended to facilitate monitoring trends in wildfire risk over time and to develop information useful in prioritizing fuels treatments and mitigation measures. Wildfire risk assessment requires analyzing the likelihood of wildfire by intensity level, and the magnitude of potential beneficial and negative effects to valued resources from fire at different intensity levels. This effort is designed to support strategic planning by systematically portraying how fire likelihood and intensity influence risk to social, economic, and ecological values at the national scale. We present results for the continental United States, analyze high risk areas by geographic region, and examine how risk evaluations changes under different assumptions with sensitivity analysis. We conclude by discussing further potential uses of the tool and research needs.

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Predicting risks of uncharacteristic wildfires: Application of the risk assessment process

Cited by 71 publications

References 18 publications

The Science and Opportunity of Wildfire Risk Assessment

The Science and Opportunity of Wildfire Risk Assessment

The Function of Remote Sensing in Support of Environmental Policy

Integrated national-scale assessment of wildfire risk to human and ecological values

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