“…Previous analyses have used some of these metrics to predict the direction of fracture growth from a preexisting fracture tip (e.g., Olson and Cooke, 2005;Okubo and Schulz, 2005;Fattaruso et al, 2016). However, these metrics can lead to conflicting predictions about both the sites of new fracture nucleation and the direction of fracture growth (e.g., Madden et al, 2017;McBeck et al, 2017McBeck et al, , 2020b. If preexisting fracture propagation is the dominant mode of development rather than fracture nucleation, then metrics that determine the conditions under which preexisting fractures will grow, such as the critical stress intensity factor (Isida, 1971), and the direction of fault growth, such as Coulomb shear stress, tensile stress, and energy optimization (e.g., Pollard and Aydin, 1988;Müller, 1998;Mary et al, 2013;Madden et al, 2017;McBeck et al, 2017), may provide more accurate predictions of fault network development than nucleation criteria.…”