Predicting the retreat and migration of tidal forests along the northern Gulf of Mexico under sea-level rise

Doyle, Thomas W.; Krauss, Ken W.; Conner, William H.; From, Andrew S.

doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2009.10.023

Cited by 144 publications

(95 citation statements)

References 36 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…Increased freshwater flows may also transport more sediment to the coastal ocean, with unknown consequences for the mangrove ecosystems and their maintenance of present stable states. Together with a supply of sediment, sea level rise can drive landward mangrove expansion or promote vertical accretion of the existing mangrove system [204,209,210]. Alternatively, rapid sea level rise may lead to excessive submergence and drowning of the forest.…”

Section: Mangrovesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Multiple Stable States and Catastrophic Shifts in Coastal Wetlands: Progress, Challenges, and Opportunities in Validating Theory Using Remote Sensing and Other Methods

et al. 2015

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Multiple stable states are established in coastal tidal wetlands (marshes, mangroves, deltas, seagrasses) by ecological, hydrological, and geomorphological feedbacks. Catastrophic shifts between states can be induced by gradual environmental change or by disturbance events. These feedbacks and outcomes are key to the sustainability and resilience of vegetated coastlines, especially as modulated by human activity, sea level rise, and climate change. Whereas multiple stable state theory has been invoked to model salt marsh responses to sediment supply and sea level change, there has been comparatively little empirical verification of the theory for salt marshes or other coastal wetlands. Especially lacking is long-term evidence documenting if or how stable states are established and maintained at ecosystem scales. Laboratory and field-plot studies are informative, but of necessarily limited spatial and temporal scope. For the purposes of long-term, coastal-scale monitoring, remote sensing is the best viable option. This review summarizes the above topics and highlights the emerging promise and challenges of using remote sensing-based analyses to validate coastal OPEN ACCESS Remote Sens. 2015, 7 10185 wetland dynamic state theories. This significant opportunity is further framed by a proposed list of scientific advances needed to more thoroughly develop the field.

show abstract

Section: Mangrovesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Multiple Stable States and Catastrophic Shifts in Coastal Wetlands: Progress, Challenges, and Opportunities in Validating Theory Using Remote Sensing and Other Methods

et al. 2015

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Other effects of climate change may also be important for forests. Sea level rise is already impacting on tidal freshwater forests (Doyle et al 2010) and tidal saltwater forests (mangroves) are expanding landward in sub-tropical coastal reaches taking over freshwater marsh and forest zones (Di Nitto et al 2014).…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change impacts and adaptation in forest management: a review

Keenan

2015

Annals of Forest Science

483

303

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Abstract& Key message Adaptation of forest management to climate change requires an understanding of the effects of climate on forests, industries and communities; prediction of how these effects might change over time; and incorporation of this knowledge into management decisions. This requires multiple forms of knowledge and new approaches to forest management decisions. Partnerships that integrate researchers from multiple disciplines with forest managers and local actors can build a shared understanding of future challenges and facilitate improved decision making in the face of climate change.

show abstract

“…Furthermore, tropical cyclone impacts along the central West Florida barrier beaches have been reduced by the presence of a shallow and gently sloping shoreface which limits large waves from reaching subaerial beaches (Davis 2011b). Land loss in the bays and lagoons is minor because these water bodies generally are small or are already protected by erosion control structures such as bulkheads (Doyle et al 1984). …”

Section: Central West Florida Barrier Islandsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Work in Florida found that mangrove areas in the Ten Thousand Islands National Wildlife Refuge had increased 35 % from 1927 to 2005; this increase was attributed to sea-level rise as well as factors such as subsidence, enhanced propagule dispersal via new waterways, and reduced freshwater delivery from overland flow (Krauss et al 2011). Mangroves are also predicted to replace freshwater forests in the eastern Gulf (Doyle et al 2010). Although some workers have examined rates of sediment accretion in expanding mangrove stands at their northern limits (Perry and Mendelssohn 2009), no information exists on the relative capacity of mangroves to keep up with sea-level rise compared to salt marsh habitat.…”

Section: Subsidence and Sea-level Risementioning

confidence: 99%