2017
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0181807
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Predicting the risk of Lyme borreliosis after a tick bite, using a structural equation model

Abstract: BackgroundUnderstanding and quantification of the risk of Lyme borreliosis after a tick bite can aid development of prevention strategies against Lyme borreliosis.MethodsWe used 3,525 single tick bite reports from three large prospective studies on the transmission risk of tick-borne pathogens to humans, with 50 reports of Lyme borreliosis during the follow-up period, among 1,973 reports with known outcome. A structural equation model was applied to estimate the risk of Lyme borreliosis after a tick bite, and … Show more

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Cited by 52 publications
(44 citation statements)
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“…Even though adults are usually more likely to be infected with B. burgdorferi s.l . (Rauter & Hartung, ; Strnad, Hönig, Růžek, Grubhoffer, & Rego, ), the small size of nymphs means that they can remain unnoticed and stay attached for longer (Falco, Fish, & Piesman, ; Hügli et al, ), increasing the risk of infection to the host (Hofhuis et al, ; Sood et al, ; Tijsse‐Klasen et al, ).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Even though adults are usually more likely to be infected with B. burgdorferi s.l . (Rauter & Hartung, ; Strnad, Hönig, Růžek, Grubhoffer, & Rego, ), the small size of nymphs means that they can remain unnoticed and stay attached for longer (Falco, Fish, & Piesman, ; Hügli et al, ), increasing the risk of infection to the host (Hofhuis et al, ; Sood et al, ; Tijsse‐Klasen et al, ).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A number of studies in LB endemic countries have suggested that although the risk of developing LB after being bitten by an infected tick is low, the potential for becoming infected is positively associated with the duration of tick attachment (Fryland et al, ; Hofhuis et al, ; Jacobs et al, ; Nahimana et al, ; Sood et al, ; Tijsse‐Klasen et al, ; Wilhelmsson et al, ). Therefore, the prompt detection and removal of ticks are important for reducing the risk of LB transmission, and for this reason, the promotion of thorough tick checks following potential tick exposure is a mainstay of tick bite prevention campaigns.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…In Europe, Ixodes ricinus is the tick species primarily responsible for transmitting B burgdorferi sl, whereas Ixodes persulcatus is predominant in large parts of Russia and Asia 2. On average, in Europe 12% of nymphal and 15% of adult I ricinus ticks are infected with B burgdorferi sl,5 and 2-3% of humans develop Lyme borreliosis after a tick bite,101112 which is similar to the incidence in the US 13…”
Section: Incidence and Epidemiologymentioning
confidence: 84%
“…Another controversial issue is the transmission time that is required for ticks to infect humans with Borrelia species. Although older animal models suggested that transmission of Bbss required 24-48 h of tick feeding, more recent reports of animal and human Borrelia infection challenged this dogma [54][55][56][57][58]. Furthermore, transmission of RFB may occur significantly faster than Bbsl, requiring seconds to a few hours in animal models and humans [59][60][61].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%