Prediction of abundance of ants due to climate warming in South Korea

Kwon, Tae‐Sung; Lee, Cheol Min; Park, Juhan; Kim, Sung‐Soo; Chun, Jung Hwa; Sung, Joo Han

doi:10.1016/j.japb.2014.03.004

Cited by 17 publications

(14 citation statements)

References 15 publications

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“…Many factors affect composition and distribution of ant species, including natural succession (Costa et al 2010), climatic change (Kwon et al 2014) and other anthropogenic impacts on forest ecosystems (e.g. logging and livestock grazing; Schmidt et al 2012;Frank et al 2015).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Ants as food for Apennine brown bears

Tosoni

Mei

Ciucci

2018

The European Zoological Journal

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The value of ants to bears is a topic of substantial relevance for the small and highly endangered population of Apennine brown bears (Ursus arctos marsicanus) in central Italy. Following a previous food-habit study (2006-2009) based on scat analysis, we used the same data set to further investigate patterns of ant consumption by Apennine bears at a greater taxonomic and temporal resolution. We observed a great diversity of ant species in bear scats, comprising 15 genera and > 42 species. Bears most frequently consumed ants living in open grassland and forest edges, belonging to five genera: Formica, Lasius, Tetramorium, Camponotus and Myrmica. Specifically, yellow Lasius spp., Serviformica spp., Lasius s. str. spp., and Tetramorium spp. were most represented in the bear diet, followed by Formica pratensis, Camponotus spp., Myrmica spp. and Formica sanguinea. Yellow Lasius spp. yielded the highest number of individuals per bear scat, outnumbering any other ant taxon. During the years of our study, ant consumption by bears peaked between June and July and corresponded to a higher occurrence of brood in the scats. Our results are useful to inform habitat management, especially in light of expected natural and anthropogenic changes. However, further investigation is necessary to unveil behavioural and ecological correlates of myrmecophagy in Apennine brown bears.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Ants as food for Apennine brown bears

Tosoni

Mei

Ciucci

2018

The European Zoological Journal

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“…Error bars indicate one standard error. Different letters on bars indicate a significant difference between cases in Tukey multicomparison test after an analysis of one-way analysis of variance, F 6, 266 ¼ 8.0192, p < 0.001. species level, and that of flies, which were analyzed at the family level, in which more species or much more families were predicted to decrease than increase (Kwon et al 2014c;Kwon et al 2014b;Lee et al 2015). Lee et al (2015) assumed that the reason for the decline is that there are more northern species than southern species due to the peninsula effect of South Korea.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The high taxa level projections of arthropods might contribute significantly for the whole picture of the climate warming related ecological change. Although a lot of studies that predict changes in organisms due to climate change have been conducted, no studies have been done on arthropods except those carried out in South Korea (Kwon et al 2014c;Kwon et al 2014b;Lee et al 2015;Li et al 2013;Li et al 2014). Because predictions using a species distribution model are mostly based on literature data or specimens in museums, they use information on occurrence (1, presence; 0, absence) rather than abundance.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In South Korea, studies to predict changes in the distribution caused by climate warming have been conducted on the various arthropod groups: a projection of the distribution and diversity of aquatic insects using the Ministry of Environment's national survey data (Li et al 2013(Li et al , 2014, and projections of distributional changes in ants (Kwon et al 2014c;, spiders (Kwon et al 2014b), beetles , and flies using the data of the Korea Forest Research Institute, Seoul in South Korea. This study was performed to find the future changes in abundance and richness of arthropods due to the temperature increase at high taxonomic levels using the Korea Forest Research Institute data.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Prediction of abundance of arthropods according to climate change scenario RCP 4.5 and 8.5 in South Korea

Lee

Kwon

Kim

et al. 2016

Journal of Asia-Pacific Biodiversity

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a b s t r a c tAbundance and diversity of arthropods were projected according to climate warming in South Korea. The taxa highly linked with temperature were selected for the projection. The values of abundance and richness were estimated using the mean values of abundance and richness in each temperature range. Temperature changes were based on the RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 4.5 and RCP 8.5, and the abundance and richness during two periods (2011 -2015, 2056 -2065) were projected. From these projected results, change of other common taxa (> 1% occurrence) were qualitatively predicted (i.e., decrease or increase). The projections showed that 45 of a total of 73 taxa will increase, 6 will change a little and 24 will decrease: the number of taxa that were expected to increase was two times more than the number of taxa that were expected to decrease. However, the overall abundance and diversity of arthropods were expected to decline as the temperature rises.

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“…Although both precipitation and temperature are important climatic factors determining species distribution patterns, temperature has been used primarily to evaluate the effects of global warming on organisms [ 3 , 7 , 16 ] because precipitation varies in time and space and its prediction is more difficult compared with temperature. For example, in North America an upward shift of ants was not related with the change in precipitation but significantly related with the rise in temperature [ 13 ], and similarly the distribution of ants in South Korea was mainly determined by temperature because other climatic factors are relatively homogeneous in this region [ 17 ].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modelling Vulnerability and Range Shifts in Ant Communities Responding to Future Global Warming in Temperate Forests

Kwon¹,

Li²,

Kim³

et al. 2016

PLoS ONE

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Global warming is likely leading to species’ distributional shifts, resulting in changes in local community compositions and diversity patterns. In this study, we applied species distribution models to evaluate the potential impacts of temperature increase on ant communities in Korean temperate forests, by testing hypotheses that 1) the risk of extinction of forest ant species would increase over time, and 2) the changes in species distribution ranges could drive upward movements of ant communities and further alter patterns of species richness. We sampled ant communities at 335 evenly distributed sites across South Korea and modelled the future distribution range for each species using generalized additive models. To account for spatial autocorrelation, autocovariate regressions were conducted prior to generalized additive models. Among 29 common ant species, 12 species were estimated to shrink their suitable geographic areas, whereas five species would benefit from future global warming. Species richness was highest at low altitudes in the current period, and it was projected to be highest at the mid-altitudes in the 2080s, resulting in an upward movement of 4.9 m yr−1. This altered the altitudinal pattern of species richness from a monotonic-decrease curve (common in temperate regions) to a bell-shaped curve (common in tropical regions). Overall, ant communities in temperate forests are vulnerable to the on-going global warming and their altitudinal movements are similar to other faunal communities.

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Prediction of abundance of ants due to climate warming in South Korea

Cited by 17 publications

References 15 publications

Ants as food for Apennine brown bears

Ants as food for Apennine brown bears

Prediction of abundance of arthropods according to climate change scenario RCP 4.5 and 8.5 in South Korea

Modelling Vulnerability and Range Shifts in Ant Communities Responding to Future Global Warming in Temperate Forests

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