Prediction of the axillary lymph-node metastatic burden of breast cancer by 18F-FDG PET/CT-based radiomics

Abstract

Background The axillary lymph-node metastatic burden is closely associated with treatment decisions and prognosis in breast cancer patients. This study aimed to explore the value of 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT)–based radiomics in combination with ultrasound and clinical pathological features for predicting axillary lymph-node metastatic burden in breast cancer. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted and involved 124 patients with pathologically confirmed early-stage breast cancer who had undergone 18F-FDG PET/CT examination. The ultrasound, PET/CT, and clinical pathological features of all patients were analysed, and radiomic features from PET images were extracted to establish a multi-parameter predictive model. Results The ultrasound lymph-node positivity rate and PET lymph-node positivity rate in the high nodal burden group were significantly higher than those in the low nodal burden group (χ2 = 19.867, p < 0.001; χ2 = 33.025, p < 0.001). There was a statistically significant difference in the PET-based radiomics score (RS) for predicting axillary lymph-node burden between the high and low lymph-node burden groups. (-1.04 ± 0.41 vs. -1.47 ± 0.41, t = -4.775, p < 0.001). The ultrasound lymph-node positivity (US_LNM) (odds ratio [OR] = 3.264, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.022–10.423), PET lymph-node positivity (PET_LNM) (OR = 14.242, 95% CI = 2.960–68.524), and RS (OR = 5.244, 95% CI = 3.16–20.896) are all independent factors associated with high lymph-node burden (p < 0.05). The area under the curve (AUC) of the multi-parameter (MultiP) model was 0.895, which was superior to those of US_LNM, PET_LNM, and RS models (AUC = 0.703, 0.814, 0.773, respectively), with statistically significant differences (Z = 2.888, 3.208, 3.804, respectively; p = 0.004, 0.002, < 0.001, respectively). Decision curve analysis indicated that the MultiP model provided a higher net benefit for all patients. Conclusion A MultiP model based on PET-based radiomics was able to effectively predict axillary lymph-node metastatic burden in breast cancer. Trial registration This study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (registration number: NCT05826197) on May 7, 2023.