The curvature in recumbent positions (supine and prone) is highly correlated to the initial in-orthosis curvature without significant difference. Thus, the initial effect of spinal orthosis could be predicted by the curvature in the recumbent positions (especially prone position) at the pre-orthosis stage. Clinical relevance Prediction of in-orthosis correction at pre-orthosis stage is valuable for spinal orthosis design. This study suggests assessing the spinal curvature in recumbent position (especially prone position) to predict the initial in-orthosis correction for optimizing the orthosis design.