Background
Loss-to-follow-up (LTFU) and mortality are unfavorable outcomes of HIV treatment. This study aimed to identify the predictors of LTFU and mortality among individuals newly diagnosed with HIV receiving dolutegravir (DTG)-based first-line antiretroviral treatment (ART) in eastern Ethiopia.
Methods
A multisite prospective cohort study was carried out between October 2020 and July 2022. New cases who started ART were enrolled consecutively, and then followed for the next six months. A structured questionnaire and checklists were used to collect data. HIV viral load test was done using the Abbott RealTime HIV-1 assay. Bi-variable and multivariable logistic regression models were used to identify baseline factors associated with the outcomes.
Results
235 newly diagnosed people with HIV (PWH) were enrolled; 16.6% (95% CI =12.3–21.9%) were lost to follow-up, and 5.9% (95% CI =3.5–9.8%) died within six months of follow-up. Baseline WHO clinical stage I (AOR =3.93, 95% CI: 1.34–11.57), low viral load (AOR =3.67, 95% CI: 1.09–12.36), and body weight (AOR =1.04, 95% CI: 1.01–1.07) were predictors of LTFU, whereas non-functional status (AOR =10.02, 95% CI: 1.9–51.3) was the only factor associated with death.
Conclusion
LTFU and death rates among patients with DTG were relatively high, accounting for roughly a quarter of the attrition of newly diagnosed PWH from ART care and services. Thus, targeted interventions are required to reduce LTFU and death among individuals with HIV on ART. Further investigation is necessary to evaluate the long-term effects of DTG-based regimens on LTFU and its impact on HIV mortality, and qualitative research, specifically tracing LTFU patients, is recommended.