Preference of Afternoon Precipitation Over Dry Soil in the North China Plain During Warm Seasons

Abstract

The influence of soil moisture (SM) on atmospheric precipitation has been extensively studied, but few of these studies have considered the role of land‐atmosphere (L‐A) coupling in afternoon precipitation events (APEs) at a sub‐daily timescale. Here, using in‐situ observations and reanalysis data sets, we investigated the effect of the soil moisture anomaly (SMA) on warm seasons' afternoon precipitation in the North China Plain (NCP), identified as a strong L‐A coupling region. APEs were separated from all precipitation events in the NCP during the warm seasons of 2010–2019. It follows from a comparative analysis that an APE is more likely to be initiated on drier soil, which has little dependence on the thresholds used for identifying an APE. However, no affirmative relationship is found between precipitation amount in the first hour of an APE (APE1hour) and the SMA. Further analyses indicate that larger amounts of APE1hour result from higher convective available potential energy (CAPE), higher moist static energy (MSE), or weaker vertical shear of horizontal wind. When considering the joint effects of SMA and atmospheric variables, APEs tend to occur on drier (wetter) soil with lower (higher) lower‐tropospheric stability, CAPE, or MSE. This study highlights the significant roles of L‐A interactions on local atmospheric precipitation, especially the joint roles of SM and atmospheric variables on precipitation.