Background: Early recognition of patients who are prone to develop severe or critical COVID-19 pneumonia may improve its management and modify its outcome by better treatment regimens.Objective: To investigate Computed Tomography (CT)-based early markers of COVID-19 progression. Material and methods: Thirty-two COVID-19 patients were retrospectively enrolled, including 23 moderate cases who remained moderate until being cured and discharged from hospital, and 9 progressive cases who started with moderate pneumonia and later progressed to severe or critical pneumonia. Clinical and CT data in the early course of disease were reviewed and compared. The association between early features and progression of COVID-19 were analyzed. Results: The multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that the progression of COVID-19 were significantly associated with older age and higher CT score of the right lower lobe in the early CT images. After adjustment for relevant covariates, the relationship between CT score of the right lower lobe and COVID-19 progression persisted (odds ratio 19.28, 95% confidence interval 1.07 - 348.34).Conclusions: Higher CT Score of the right lower lobe in early images and older age appeared to be promising biomarkers for early prediction of COVID-19 prognosis. Extensive involvement of the right lower lobe at the early stage may suggest a high risk of progression.