Objectives To determine the associations between the presence of various-sized hypertransmission defects (hyperTDs) and progression to incomplete retinal pigment epithelial (RPE) and outer retinal atrophy (iRORA) and complete RORA (cRORA) in eyes with intermediate age-related macular degeneration (iAMD).Methods Optical coherence tomography (OCT) data from consecutive iAMD patients, were retrospectively reviewed. All of iAMD eyes with or without iRORA (but not cRORA) at baseline were included. Graders evaluated the presence of hyperTDs at baseline (small: 63–124 µm; medium: 125–249 µm; large: ≥ 250 µm in diameter on choroidal en face OCT) and the progression two years later.Results Of the 145 eyes that not developed neovascular AMD at two years, the eyes that progressed to or developed iRORA or cRORA included 13 eyes (10.7%), 5 eyes (83.3%), 9 eyes (81.8%), and 6 eyes (85.7%) in the groups with no, small, medium, and large hyperTDs at baseline, respectively (P-value < 0.001). The odds ratios (95% CI) for progression were 41.6 (4.5–383.6), 37.4 (7.3–192.0), and 49.9 (5.6–447.1) in the small, medium, and large hyperTDs groups, compared to no hyperTDs (P-value ≤ 0.001). Eyes with ≥ 2 hyperTDs also showed more frequent progression than eyes with one or no hyperTDs (100% vs. 16.4%; P-value < 0.001).Conclusions While most iAMD eyes with no hyperTDs remained stable on OCT over two years, eyes with hyperTDs of any size appeared to be at a higher risk for progression. HyperTDs may provide an important OCT biomarker for identifying high-risk iAMD patients.