Episodes of acute low back pain are a universal human experience (1). Usually, this is a benign, selflimiting disorder that does not require professional advice or specific treatment (2). Once someone with acute low back pain presents for care, a plethora of management guidelines are available to treating clinicians. These guidelines typically recommend that serious disorders (cauda equina syndrome, fracture, infection, inflammatory disorders, malignancy) should be excluded, using a number of "red flag" questions, before making a diagnosis of nonspecific low back pain (3). In contrast to the high-quality data available for at least some treatments of nonspecific low back pain, systematic reviews of the use of red flag questions to identify malignancy and fractures show that the strength of the evidence underpinning these screening questions is weak (4,5). Furthermore, few of the data that are available were collected in a primary care setting, where most consultations for back pain take place.In this issue of Arthritis & Rheumatism, Henscke and colleagues report on the performance of commonly recommended red flags in a prospective study of 1,172 consecutive patients presenting to a primary care setting because of acute low back pain (duration of Ͼ24 hours but Ͻ6 weeks) (6). After careful followup over 1 year, a serious cause for back pain was identified in only 11 patients (0.9%; 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.5-1.7%). The incidence of spinal fractures (8 [0.7%] of 1,172 patients [95% CI 0.4-1.3%]) and malignancy (none of 1,172 patients [95% CI 0-0.3%]) was much lower than the commonly quoted values for osteoporotic fractures and malignancy (ϳ4% and ϳ0.7%, respectively) (7).An important strength of this study is that data were collected from members of different health professions who provide first-contact care for acute back pain in a primary care setting. This approach also results in an important weakness of the study: only first presentations for a new episode of low back pain were considered. Serious disorders causing low back pain are likely to be more common in some other patient groups. Persons in such groups include those presenting for a second, third, or subsequent primary care consultation because of pain that is not resolving, those presenting to an emergency room, and those who had been referred for specialist care. Thus, even though the incidence of serious disease is very low at the time of first consultations for new episodes of acute low back pain, clinicians do need to keep their diagnosis of nonspecific low back pain under review during the subacute and early chronic phases of low back pain (8). Indeed, these serious disorders can develop in patients with established disabling chronic low back pain and thus cannot be disregarded regardless of how long the patient has been experiencing low back pain. With this extremely low incidence of serious disease identified following a first consultation for a new episode of acute low back pain, the large number of patients with 1 or more red flag sy...