Objective
To investigate the trends of diagnosed celiac disease (CD), undiagnosed CD, and people without CD avoiding gluten (PWAG) in the civilian non-institutionalized US population from 2009 to 2014.
Patients and Methods
We studied the occurrence of CD and PWAG in the 2009–2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES). The sera of all participants 6 years and older from NHANES 2009–2014 were tested for CD serology at Mayo Clinic. Participants were interviewed about a diagnosis of CD and the use of a gluten-free diet (GFD). The design effects of the survey and sample weights were incorporated in all statistical analyses.
Results
In the US general population, the prevalence of CD did not significantly change from 2009–2010 [0.7%, 95% CI (0.6–0.8)] to 2011–2012 [0.8%, 95% CI (0.4–1.2)] to 2013–2014 [0.7%, 95% CI (0.3–1.0)]. However, the prevalence of undiagnosed CD decreased from 0.6% in 2009–2010 to 0.3% in 2013–2014. In contrast, the prevalence of PWAG significantly increased from 0.5% (95% CI, 0.2–0.9) in 2009–2010 to 1.0% (95% CI, 0.6–1.4) in 2011–2012 to 1.7% (95% CI, 1.1–2.4) in 2013–2014 (P for trend = .005).
Conclusion
While the overall prevalence of CD remained stable between 2009 and 2014, the proportion CD that is hidden significantly decreased. Moreover, the prevalence of individuals without CD but following a GFD markedly increased between 2009 and 2014. Long-term health consequences of GFD warrant further investigation.