2013
DOI: 10.1002/met.1429
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Principal components of sea surface temperatures as predictors of seasonal rainfall in rainfed wheat growing areas ofPakistan

Abstract: Time-lagged relationships were explored between VARIMAX rotated principal components (RCs) of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and rainfall periods that are important for rainfed wheat production in Pakistan. Seasonal forecasts were developed using Generalized Additive Models. The first 10 RCs explained 54% of the variance in the SST data. Individual RCs were strongly (r 2 ≥ |0.5|) to moderately (r 2 ≥ |0.3|) correlated with climatic indices of SST anomalies associated with the El-Niño Southern Oscillation, Pac… Show more

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Cited by 29 publications
(14 citation statements)
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“…Talagang (32°55’N, 72°25’E, 458 m a.s.l.) has an arid climate and is located in the low rainfall zone [ 21 ]. The annual ET 0 at Talagang is about 1592 mm.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Talagang (32°55’N, 72°25’E, 458 m a.s.l.) has an arid climate and is located in the low rainfall zone [ 21 ]. The annual ET 0 at Talagang is about 1592 mm.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Field experiments were carried out during the wheat growing seasons of 2013-2014 and 2014-2015 at three variable climatic locations of Pothwar, i.e., low rainfall area, Talagang (32 • [40] (Figures 1-3). Urea ((NH 2 ) 2 CO) (46% N) fertilizer was applied as full at the time of sowing and split doses (sowing, tillering, and anthesis).…”
Section: Study Sites Treatments Plant Material and Experimental Dementioning
confidence: 99%
“…IPCC (2014) reported 2000s as the warmest decade and 2014 as the warmest year. Agricultural productivity is under threat due to climate change all over the globe as predicted by current and future scenarios (van Ogtrop et al, 2014;Ahmad et al, 2017;Dettori et al, 2017). Increased temperature significantly influences crop productivity and can lead to dramatic yield loss.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%