2024
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl106067
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Probabilistic Assessment of Global Drought Recovery and Its Response to Precipitation Changes

Limin Zhang,
Fei Yuan,
Xiaogang He

Abstract: Accurate assessment of drought recovery probability is crucial for proactive strategies in cost‐effective water resource allocation, resilient agriculture management, and sustainable energy planning. However, there has been a notable gap in assessing drought recovery from a probabilistic and multi‐variate perspective. Here, we develop a Vine Copula‐based framework to quantify global drought recovery probability and explore its elasticity to precipitation changes. Compared to the historical period (1951–1983), … Show more

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