2017
DOI: 10.5194/adgeo-44-23-2017
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Probabilistic flood inundation mapping at ungauged streams due to roughness coefficient uncertainty in hydraulic modelling

Abstract: Abstract. Probabilistic flood inundation mapping is performed and analysed at the ungauged Xerias stream reach, Volos, Greece. The study evaluates the uncertainty introduced by the roughness coefficient values on hydraulic models in flood inundation modelling and mapping. The wellestablished one-dimensional (1-D) hydraulic model, HEC-RAS is selected and linked to Monte-Carlo simulations of hydraulic roughness. Terrestrial Laser Scanner data have been used to produce a high quality DEM for input data uncertaint… Show more

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Cited by 74 publications
(58 citation statements)
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“…All selected streams drain through the city of Volos and contain multiple hydraulic structures and flood protection works. We point out that the city of Volos has experienced frequent flood events (e.g., 2003,2006,2009,2012) due to heavy precipitation episodes that occurred in the last decades [4,10,25,26,34,35]. In particular, the extreme flash flood event that occurred in October of 2006 involved strong debris flow and mudslides that caused severe impacts on transportation networks, other technical infrastructures and agricultural areas.…”
Section: Study Areamentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…All selected streams drain through the city of Volos and contain multiple hydraulic structures and flood protection works. We point out that the city of Volos has experienced frequent flood events (e.g., 2003,2006,2009,2012) due to heavy precipitation episodes that occurred in the last decades [4,10,25,26,34,35]. In particular, the extreme flash flood event that occurred in October of 2006 involved strong debris flow and mudslides that caused severe impacts on transportation networks, other technical infrastructures and agricultural areas.…”
Section: Study Areamentioning
confidence: 99%
“…One of the basic factors of input data uncertainty in flood inundation modeling and mapping, especially when 2D hydraulic hydrodynamic models are used, is the Digital Elevation Model (DEM) accuracy. The DEM estimation process involves several errors, especially in complex river and riverine areas, due to the topographical technique used [10,25,26,56]. The most common approaches followed for the river and riverine areas topography estimation and the DEM generation are ground surveying topographic approaches and photogrammetric techniques.…”
Section: Hydraulic-hydrodynamic Modellingmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…The parameter which is under investigation for uncertainty is the Manning coefficients of the catchment, which is quite an important parameter in the simulation [10][11][12]. For the derivation of the training data set, one hundred (100) UHs were derived, adopting the Latin Hypercube Sampling technique for the values of the Manning coefficients.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%