1988
DOI: 10.1080/14640748808402300
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Probabilistic Judgements in Deluded and Non-Deluded Subjects

Abstract: An experiment is described in which deluded subjects were compared with a non-deluded psychiatric control group and a normal control group on a probabilistic inference task. Deluded subjects were found to request less information before reaching a decision and to express higher certainty levels than either control group. They also exhibited over-confidence on estimates of the probability of a future event. Delusion. A false personal belief based on incorrect inference about external reality and firmly sustain… Show more

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Cited by 545 publications
(457 citation statements)
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“…For reasons beyond the scope of this paper, I do not think that the maintenance of delusional hypothesis can be given a similar 'rational' account given the tendency of delusional schizophrenics to adopt beliefs on the basis of minimal positive evidence (see e.g. Langdon et al, 2010;Moritz and Woodward, 2005;Colbert and Peters, 2002;Young and Bentall, 1997;Garety et al, 1991;Huq et al, 1988).…”
Section: Passivity Symptoms Explanatory Challenges and Corollary DImentioning
confidence: 97%
“…For reasons beyond the scope of this paper, I do not think that the maintenance of delusional hypothesis can be given a similar 'rational' account given the tendency of delusional schizophrenics to adopt beliefs on the basis of minimal positive evidence (see e.g. Langdon et al, 2010;Moritz and Woodward, 2005;Colbert and Peters, 2002;Young and Bentall, 1997;Garety et al, 1991;Huq et al, 1988).…”
Section: Passivity Symptoms Explanatory Challenges and Corollary DImentioning
confidence: 97%
“…In this context, high UE scorers show stronger associative links between the S choice and behavioral states later in the chain, suggesting interesting potential for research into the relationship between schizotypy levels and the strength of associative links between behavioral states and responding. This suggestion, again, may be useful to examine in terms of decision-making as research into delusions have shown that deluded subjects make probabilistic judgments more Timing & Schizotypy -15 quickly, and with less evidence, than non-deluded subjects 53 , but can also be excessive in changing their choices on reasoning tasks 54 .…”
Section: Timing and Schizotypy -14mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…That is, they tend to draw conclusions based on less evidence than nondelusional participants (e.g., Huq et al, 1988;Garety et al, 1991;Garety et al, 2005;van Dael et al, 2006;Langdon et al, 2010; for a review see Fine et al, 2007). Even though the conclusions reached in the typical jump to conclusions paradigm are not of delusional content, such a mechanism of hasty decision-making can help explain why someone could consider a false belief in the first place (Ziegler et al, 2008).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%