2016
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2016.03.045
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Probabilistic simulation framework for balanced and unbalanced low voltage networks

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Cited by 14 publications
(7 citation statements)
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“…For such a longterm perspective, the accuracy of forecasting tools is questionable, 34 and the objective is rather to provide a number of time trajectories, capturing the statistical properties of the variables (daily, weekly and yearly periodicities). 35 To that end, we rely on 6 years of data (from 2012 to 2017) that are directly fed to the stochastic program, along with four artificially-generated years, in order to have a total of 10 typical years (which thus correspond to 3650 representative days). The four additional years are simply obtained by feeding the existing years into a Seasonal AutoRegressive Moving Average (SARMA) model that is used to generate new representative time trajectories.…”
Section: Case Studymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For such a longterm perspective, the accuracy of forecasting tools is questionable, 34 and the objective is rather to provide a number of time trajectories, capturing the statistical properties of the variables (daily, weekly and yearly periodicities). 35 To that end, we rely on 6 years of data (from 2012 to 2017) that are directly fed to the stochastic program, along with four artificially-generated years, in order to have a total of 10 typical years (which thus correspond to 3650 representative days). The four additional years are simply obtained by feeding the existing years into a Seasonal AutoRegressive Moving Average (SARMA) model that is used to generate new representative time trajectories.…”
Section: Case Studymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The flowchart in Figure 2 presents the structure of the simulation algorithm, which is entirely developed in MATLAB®. The energy exchange scenarios are generated by the Monte Carlo algorithm sampling from the historic SM data of the feeder [13], [14]. The power flow analysis is performed with the three-phase algorithm that is presented in [14] and outlined in Appendix A.…”
Section: Overview Of the Simulation Toolmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The current carrying capacities of the lines should not exceed the DSO requirements or the recommended values in technical standards such as [15]. The load flow analysis of each system state is performed with the three-phase algorithm that is explained in the Appendix [14].…”
Section: Feeder Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…the readings will be available as a batch every few weeks or months. While this is not a problem for the modelling of longer term distribution problems using smart meter data such as the fair allocation of costs (Klonari et al 2016), it is an issue for the more active management of the low voltage network (Leão et al 2011).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%