We have assembled extensive information on the cycles of seven industrial metals in 49 countries, territories, or groups of countries, drawn from a database of some 200,000 material flows, and have devised analytical approaches to treat the suite of metals as composing an approach to a national "materials metabolism." We demonstrate that in some of the more developed countries, per capita metal use is more than 10 times the global average. Additionally, countries that use more than the per capita world average of any metal do so for all metals, and vice versa, and countries that are above global average rates of use are very likely to be above global average rates at all stages of metal life cycles from fabrication onward. We show that all countries are strongly dependent on international trade to supply the spectrum of nonrenewable resources that modern technology requires, regardless of their level of development. We also find that the rate of use of the spectrum of metals stock is highly correlated to per capita gross domestic product, as well as to the Human Development Index and the Global Competitiveness Innovation Index. The implication is that as wealth and technology increase in developing countries, strong demand will be created not for a few key resources, but across the entire spectrum of the industrial metals. Long-term metal demand can be estimated given gross domestic product projections; the results suggest overall metal flow into use in 2050 of 5-10 times today's level should supplies permit.industrial ecology | material flow analysis | metal cycles I t is without any doubt that modern society is only possible because of the use of metals. Metals possess properties of high utility (high melting points, structural stiffness, electrical conductivity, etc.) difficult or impossible to duplicate by other materials. As a consequence, the use of metals exploded in the twentieth century, especially after 1950. The result is a panoply of products that now appear essential to modern lives-furnaces, medical diagnostic machines, computers, cellular telephones, and on and on.Metals are seldom deposited one at a time in nature (1, 2), nor do they tend to be employed one by one (3). Rather, they see use as components of alloys or in composite structures, or as components of complex assembled products (4, 5). Analytical studies of metal cycles generally address only individual metals, however (e.g., refs. 6-8), largely because detailed information on combinations of metals is seldom available.In the material flow analysis approach, a metal cycle is often expressed through four principal processes: production, fabrication and manufacturing, use, and waste management and recycling. The cycle can be illustrated as shown in Fig. 1. It is characterized by processes that are linked through markets (9), each market indicating trade with other regions at the respective life stages. The scrap market plays a central role in that it connects manufacturing and the waste management and recycling stage with production and fa...