The aim of this study was to identify factors that may be associated with the development of bone metastases in patients with metastatic breast carcinoma and to see if any of these factors had a bearing on subsequent survival. In total, 492 patients presented to the Nottingham City Hospital with metastatic breast carcinoma between July 1997 and December 2001. Of these, 267 patients had bone metastases at presentation with metastatic disease, 91 patients in this group had bone as their only site of metastatic disease. Sites of first presentation of metastatic disease were prospectively recorded, as were histological features of the primary tumour (tumour type, histological grade, lymph node stage, tumour size and oestrogen receptor (ER) status). The radiological features of the bone metastases, the metastasis-free interval and serological tumour marker levels at presentation with metastases were all recorded. There was a significant association between the development of bone metastases and lower grade tumours (P ¼ 0.019), ER-positive tumours (Po0.0001) and the lymph node stage of the primary tumour (P ¼ 0.047). A multivariate analysis found that metastasis-free interval, additional sites of metastatic disease other than bone, ER status and serological tumour marker levels all independently contributed to survival from time of presentation with bone metastases. British Journal of Cancer (2003) The survival of patients with metastases is variable ranging from a matter of months to many years. The ability to predict prognosis and response to treatment has a considerable impact on patient management. It is well established that oestrogen receptor (ER) status and site of presentation of metastatic disease have the greatest impact on patient survival, with additional contributions made by patient age, disease-free interval and histological grade.Bone is the most common site of metastases in patients with breast carcinoma and so patients with bone metastases make up the largest single group of patients presenting with metastatic disease. It has previously been reported that 20% of patients with bone metastases survive for more than 5 years, which emphasises the wide variation in survival seen in this group of patients (Coleman et al, 1987). The aim of this study was to identify factors that may be associated with the development of bone metastases and to see if any of these factors had any bearing on subsequent survival.We have assessed traditional factors such as ER status, histological grade, lymph node stage and size of the primary tumour, patient age, metastasis-free interval and the presence of metastases at sites other than bone. We have examined the radiological appearance of the bone metastases and looked for associations with the histological features of the tumour and patient survival. In common with other centres, we increasingly use serological tumour markers in the diagnosis and monitoring of patients with metastatic breast carcinoma. The prognostic significance of elevated tumour markers at presentation ...