Importance
Whether the extent of coronary artery disease (CAD) is associated with the occurrence of heart failure (HF) after myocardial infarction (MI) is not known. Further, whether this association might differ by HF type according to preserved or reduced ejection fraction (EF) has yet to be determined.
Objective
To evaluate in a community cohort of patients with incident (first ever) MI, the association of angiographic CAD with subsequent HF and to examine the prognostic role of CAD according to HF subtypes: HF with reduced EF (HFrEF) and HF with preserved EF (HFpEF).
Design, Setting and Participants
Population-based cohort study of Olmsted County, Minnesota residents (n=1,922; mean age, 64 years) with incident MI diagnosed between 1990–2010 and no prior HF; followed through 2013.
Main Outcomes and Measures
The extent of angiographic CAD was defined at baseline according to the number of major epicardial coronary arteries with ≥50% lumen diameter obstruction. HF was ascertained by the Framingham criteria and classified by type according to EF (50% cutoff).
Results
During a mean (SD) follow-up of 6.7 (5.9) years, 588 patients developed HF. With death and recurrent MI modeled as competing risks, the cumulative incidence rates of post-MI HF among patients with 0–1, 2, and 3 diseased vessels were 10.7%, 14.6% and 23.0% at 30 days; and 14.7%, 20.6% and 29.8% at 5 years, respectively (p for trend<.001). After adjustment for clinical characteristics in a Cox model, the hazard ratios (95% CIs) for HF were 1.25 (0.99–1.59) and 1.75 (1.40–2.20) in patients with 2 and 3 vs 0–1 occluded vessels, respectively (p for trend<.001). The increased risk with greater number of occluded vessels was independent of the occurrence of a recurrent MI and did not differ appreciably by HF type.
Conclusions and Relevance
The extent of angiographic CAD is predictive of post-MI HF, regardless of HF type and independently of recurrent MI. These data underscore the need to further investigate the processes taking place in the transition from myocardial injury to HF.