Projected impacts of climate change on protected birds and nature reserves in China

Li, Xueyan; Clinton, Nicholas; Si, Youbin; Liao, Jishan; Lu, Liang; Gong, Peng

doi:10.1007/s11434-015-0892-y

Cited by 25 publications

(19 citation statements)

References 86 publications

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“…Based on the model output, under a mild climate change scenario (RCP 4.5), 20.52% (SH c ) of current suitable habitat of giant panda is projected to transfer to unsuitable habitat, particularly in the southwestern region of the Qinling Mountains (i.e., Chenggu and Liuba counties). Climate change associated with suitable habitat fragmentation would present another conservation challenge for this species (Holyoak & Heath, ; Li, Clinton, et al., ). Current habitat connectivity in southwestern portion of Qinling Mountains is relatively low, and these areas are predicted to experience greatest loss by the 2050s due to climate change, thereby emphasizing the need for a regional conservation strategy for giant panda conservation to protect these areas, and constructing migration corridors to facilitate the dispersal of southwestern populations to large core areas.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Climate change associated with suitable habitat fragmentation would present another conservation challenge for this species (Holyoak & Heath, 2016;Li, Clinton, et al, 2015). Current habitat connectivity in southwestern portion of Qinling Mountains is relatively low, and these areas are predicted to experience greatest loss by the 2050s due to climate change, thereby emphasizing the need for a regional conservation strategy for giant panda conservation to protect these areas, and constructing migration corridors to facilitate the dispersal of southwestern populations to large core areas.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…This approach is considered one of the best performing algorithms in predicting species distribution with presence‐only data (Elith, Phillips, Hastie, Dudík, & Chee, ). It has been extensively applied to project species range shifts under climate change (Li, Clinton, et al., ; Lei, Xu, Cui, Guang, & Ding, ; Songer et al., ). Maxent estimates species distributions by finding the probability distribution of maximum entropy, subject to the constraints of the data that are available (Phillips et al., ).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…It has been extensively applied to project species range shifts under climate change (Li, Clinton, et al, 2015;Lei, Xu, Cui, Guang, & Ding, 2014;Songer et al, 2012). Maxent estimates species distributions by finding the probability distribution of maximum entropy, subject to the constraints of the data that are available (Phillips et al, 2006).…”

Section: Habitat Suitability Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Assessing vulnerability of giant pandas to climate change in the Qinling Mountains of China

Liu

Xue

et al. 2017

Ecology and Evolution

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Climate change might pose an additional threat to the already vulnerable giant panda (Ailuropoda melanoleuca). Effective conservation efforts require projections of vulnerability of the giant panda in facing climate change and proactive strategies to reduce emerging climate‐related threats. We used the maximum entropy model to assess the vulnerability of giant panda to climate change in the Qinling Mountains of China. The results of modeling included the following findings: (1) the area of suitable habitat for giant pandas was projected to decrease by 281 km2 from climate change by the 2050s; (2) the mean elevation of suitable habitat of giant panda was predicted to shift 30 m higher due to climate change over this period; (3) the network of nature reserves protect 61.73% of current suitable habitat for the species, and 59.23% of future suitable habitat; (4) current suitable habitat mainly located in Chenggu, Taibai, and Yangxian counties (with a total area of 987 km2) was predicted to be vulnerable. Assessing the vulnerability of giant panda provided adaptive strategies for conservation programs and national park construction. We proposed adaptation strategies to ameliorate the predicted impacts of climate change on giant panda, including establishing and adjusting reserves, establishing habitat corridors, improving adaptive capacity to climate change, and strengthening monitoring of giant panda.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Habitat Suitability Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Assessing vulnerability of giant pandas to climate change in the Qinling Mountains of China

Liu

Xue

et al. 2017

Ecology and Evolution

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“…Another interesting topic in conservative biology is the effect of climate changes on protected animals, especially on bird distribution and migration in China [80,81], which depends largely on the development of remote sensing technology. Prof. Peng Gong's laboratory at Tsinghua University and Chinese Academy of Sciences published a series of papers to introduce the application of satellite remote sensing in the protection of national wetland reserves and greenes in China [82][83][84][85].…”

Section: Evolution and Conservative Biologymentioning

confidence: 99%

From Chinese Science Bulletin to Science Bulletin: celebrate the coming 50th birthday

Jia

Chen

2015

Science Bulletin

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Identifying potential refugia and corridors under climate change: A case study of endangered Sichuan golden monkey (Rhinopithecus roxellana) in Qinling Mountains, China

Xue

et al. 2018

American J Primatol

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Climate change threatens endangered species and challenges current conservation strategies. Effective conservation requires vulnerability assessments for species susceptible to climate change and adaptive strategies to mitigate threats associated with climate. In this paper, we used the Maxent to model the impacts of climate change on habitat suitability of Sichuan golden monkey Rhinopithecus roxellana. Our results showed that (i) suitable habitat for Sichuan golden monkey was predicted to decrease by 37% in 2050s under climate change; (ii) the mean elevations of suitable habitat in the 2050s was estimated to shift 160 m higher; (iii) nature reserves protect 62% of current suitable habitat and 56% of future suitable habitat; and (iv) 49% of current suitable habitat was predicted to be vulnerable to future climate change. Given these results, we proposed conservation implications to mitigate the impacts of climate change on Sichuan golden monkey, including adjusting range of national park, establishing habitat corridors, and conducting long‐term monitoring.

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Projected impacts of climate change on protected birds and nature reserves in China

Cited by 25 publications

References 86 publications

Assessing vulnerability of giant pandas to climate change in the Qinling Mountains of China

Assessing vulnerability of giant pandas to climate change in the Qinling Mountains of China

From Chinese Science Bulletin to Science Bulletin: celebrate the coming 50th birthday

Identifying potential refugia and corridors under climate change: A case study of endangered Sichuan golden monkey (Rhinopithecus roxellana) in Qinling Mountains, China

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