Projecting the Potential Distribution of Abies koreana in Korea Under the Climate Change Based on RCP Scenarios

Koo, Kyung Ah; Kim, Jaeuk; Kong, Woo-Seok; Jung, Huicheul; Kim, Geunhan

doi:10.13087/kosert.2016.19.6.19

Cited by 11 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 21 publications

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“…Climate change-related range shifts in plants were mostly predicted at the regional scale, i.e., the Korean peninsula, but rarely at local scales, e.g., mountain areas. Such predictions have been made for climate change-sensitive species (Shin et al 2018;Koo et al 2015;Koo et al 2016;Park et al 2016b;Koo et al 2017b;Koo et al 2017c;Koo et al 2018;Park et al 2019).…”

Section: Changes In Diversity and Distribution Rangementioning

confidence: 99%

“…Plants The geographical range of plants and their climate-related range shifts have been investigated for plant species at local and regional scales. Studies have provided range shift predictions under climate change based on the climatically suitable habitat conditions for individual plant species (Shin et al 2018;Koo et al 2015;Koo et al 2016;Park et al 2016b;Koo et al 2017a;Koo et al 2017b;Koo et al 2017c;Koo et al 2018;Park et al 2019) as well as changes in the species composition and diversity of plant communities according to elevational gradient (Kim et al 2018a;An et al 2019).…”

Section: Diversity and Distribution Rangementioning

confidence: 99%

“…Although the future ranges of cold-adapted plants, i.e., those distributed in high mountainous areas such as alpine and subalpine belts, were mostly predicted to shrink and shift to northern and high-elevation areas (Koo et al 2015;Koo et al 2017a), the ranges of warm-adapted plants, i.e., those that inhabit low land areas, were mostly predicted to expand and shift to northern areas (Park et al 2016a(Park et al , 2016bKoo et al 2017b;Park et al 2019). However, the level of change in future ranges was species-specific, suggesting the need for species-specific predictions and management practices (Koo et al 2016).…”

Section: Diversity and Distribution Rangementioning

confidence: 99%

“…d The distribution of habitat suitability when 1.5°C rises. e The distribution of habitat suitability when 2.0°C rises general circulation model (GCM) of the Hadley Center, UK (Koo et al 2016;Koo et al 2017c;Koo et al 2018). Assessment of flora on some islands on the southern coast of Jeollanam-do (Kim et al 2016a) showed that the ranges of species that prefer cool climates, e.g., Primula farinosa subsp.…”

Section: Diversity and Distribution Rangementioning

confidence: 99%

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Trends in the effects of climate change on terrestrial ecosystems in the Republic of Korea

et al. 2021

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In this review, we aimed to synthesize the current knowledge on the observed and projected effects of climate change on the ecosystems of Korea (i.e., the Republic of Korea (ROK) or South Korea), as well as the main causes of vulnerability and options for adaptation in these ecosystems based on a range of ecological and biogeographical data. To this end, we compiled a set of peer-reviewed papers published since 2014. We found that publication of climate-related studies on plants has decreased in the field of plant phenology and physiology, whereas such publication has rapidly increased in plant and animal community ecology, reflecting the range shifts and abundance change that are occurring under climate change. Plant phenology studies showed that climate change has increased growing seasons by advancing the timing of flowering and budburst while delaying the timing of leafing out. Community ecology studies indicated that the future ranges of cold-adapted plants and animals could shrink or shift toward northern and high-elevation areas, whereas the ranges of warm-adapted organisms could expand and/or shift toward the areas that the aforementioned cold-adapted biota previously occupied. This review provides useful information and new insights that will improve understanding of climate change effects on the ecosystems of Korea. Moreover, it will serve as a reference for policy-makers seeking to establish future sectoral adaptation options for protection against climate change.

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Section: Changes In Diversity and Distribution Rangementioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Diversity and Distribution Rangementioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Diversity and Distribution Rangementioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Diversity and Distribution Rangementioning

confidence: 99%

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Trends in the effects of climate change on terrestrial ecosystems in the Republic of Korea

et al. 2021

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“…However, in applying advanced modelling techniques, the suitability of input data into experimental designs such as spatial scale is also critical in affecting modelling accuracy. In Korea, studies on potential habitats mainly employ low-resolution data (spatial resolution ~1 km) for the entire country [17][18][19]. However, the results of these studies could vary depending on the spatial resolution of the climate data and the information on species distribution, particularly for A. koreana, which has an extremely limited habitat range.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Fine-Scale Species Distribution Modeling of Abies koreana across a Subalpine Zone in South Korea for In Situ Species Conservation

et al. 2023

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Severe declines in the population of Abies koreana, a conifer native to the subalpine regions of South Korea, are likely a consequence of climate change. However, local-scale modeling of the species’ spatial distribution has seen limited application to in situ conservation policies. Therefore, we intended for this study to examine the applicability of fine-scale species distribution modeling of A. koreana in the Mt. Jiri National Park area in S. Korea in order to explore candidate areas for its in situ conservation. We simulated the potential habitat of the species in the area with four separate models using different dominance patterns, then created an index based on habitability probabilities and residual durations to determine priority conservation areas. Under the highest sensitivity of potential habitats to temperature (spatially downscaled based on geomorphological characteristics), rapid habitat reduction occurred under climate warming in all experiments. At the regional scale, hydrological characteristics such as precipitation and slope characterized different secondary habitat distributional patterns among the experiments. Final conservation priority sites were identified based on specified criteria for the designed index. Our results suggest that a fine-scale modeling system with adequate spatial resolution of environmental inputs is advantageous in representing local habitat characteristics of A. koreana and can be applied to in situ conservation strategies.

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Management plans for Korean national parks to conserve the habitat of the Korean fir (Abies koreana)

Lee,

Park,

Jeong

et al. 2023

Biological Conservation

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Projecting the Potential Distribution of Abies koreana in Korea Under the Climate Change Based on RCP Scenarios

Cited by 11 publications

References 21 publications

Trends in the effects of climate change on terrestrial ecosystems in the Republic of Korea

Trends in the effects of climate change on terrestrial ecosystems in the Republic of Korea

Fine-Scale Species Distribution Modeling of Abies koreana across a Subalpine Zone in South Korea for In Situ Species Conservation

Management plans for Korean national parks to conserve the habitat of the Korean fir (Abies koreana)

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