Objective: To assess the impact of handling patients and indicators of individual susceptibility on risk of low back pain in nurses. Design: Prospective cohort study with follow up by repeated self administered questionnaires every three months over two years. Setting: NHS university hospitals trust. Subjects: 961 female nurses who had been free from low back pain for at least one month at the time of completing a baseline questionnaire. Main outcome measures: Incidence of new low back pain during follow up and of pain leading to absence from work.