1992
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2125.1992.tb04077.x
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Prospective evaluation of a model for the prediction of milk:plasma drug concentrations from physicochemical characteristics.

Abstract: There was no significant bias in the predictions. 6 The model was refined by multiple linear regression analysis utilising the observed M/P ratios for the 10 basic drugs in addition to those of the original drugs. The revised equation resulted in an improvement in the explained variance. 7 Protein binding was the most important single predictor. 8 The results confirm that M/P ratios for basic drugs can be predicted accurately from their physicochemical characteristics.

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Cited by 104 publications
(63 citation statements)
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“…However, for a drug such as sumatriptan which has a short t I j z and delayed time of peak, such calculations will yield highly variable time-dependent values. In such cases, calculation of the M:P ratio based on AUC data has been recommended to achieve reliable data [15][16][17]. In our study, M:P ratios calculated using AUC data for sumatriptan give a mean value of 4.9 which is high by comparison with values for most other basic drugs [14,18].…”
Section: Time (H)mentioning
confidence: 69%
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“…However, for a drug such as sumatriptan which has a short t I j z and delayed time of peak, such calculations will yield highly variable time-dependent values. In such cases, calculation of the M:P ratio based on AUC data has been recommended to achieve reliable data [15][16][17]. In our study, M:P ratios calculated using AUC data for sumatriptan give a mean value of 4.9 which is high by comparison with values for most other basic drugs [14,18].…”
Section: Time (H)mentioning
confidence: 69%
“…This value also is approximately three times greater than the theoretical M:P ratio of 1.6, which can be calculated using the pH-partition hypothesis [ 191, with a pK, of 9.63 (tertiary N) and plasma and milk pH values of 7.4 and 7.2 respectively. If one modifies this calculation as suggested by Begg et al [16], a theoretical M:P ratio of 2.6 or approximately 50% of the observed value is obtained. The latter calculation is most affected by milk pH and predicts ratios varying from 4.7 to 25.4 for a pH range of 7 to 6.8 respectively.…”
Section: Time (H)mentioning
confidence: 92%
“…It is now possible to predict M/P ratios from the physicochemical characteristics of drugs [5,9]. Hence, an initial estimate of El can be calculated simply from equations (3) and (4) b) The measured highest M/P ratios of 74 drugs; 80% have M/P ratios of less than 1. c) Observed infant exposure (EIA) of 144 drugs derived from measured peak drug concentrations in milk; 90% have El A values of less than 10% of those expected after direct therapeutic doses.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The model was subsequently modified in an attempt to account for instances in which predicted M:P ratios differed from in vivo observations [4]. In a direct comparison of mathematical predictions, the log transformed model performed better than the other derivations but still over-or under-predicted the M:P ratio by >20% for 7 out of 10 drugs [8].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Other derived mathematical expressions have been reported [1][2][3]. Although an improvement on the H-H equation, these are not good predictors for all drugs [4]. Mathematical models that rely on published norms also fail to accommodate variation in the composition of the milk.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%