Proyección de los impactos del cambio climático en el caudal de la cuenca del río Lurín-Perú, bajo escenarios del CMIP5-RCP

Díaz, Kátherine Jeannette Osorio; Fernández, Lía Ramos; Bejarano, Teresa Velásquez

doi:10.4067/s0718-34292022000100101

Idesia

2022

DOI: 10.4067/s0718-34292022000100101

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Proyección de los impactos del cambio climático en el caudal de la cuenca del río Lurín-Perú, bajo escenarios del CMIP5-RCP

Kátherine Jeannette Osorio Díaz

Lía Ramos Fernández

Teresa Velásquez Bejarano

Abstract: Proyección de los impactos del cambio climático en el caudal de la cuenca del río Lurín-Perú, bajo escenarios del CMIP5-RCPProjection of the impacts of climate change on the flow of the Lurín river basin-Peru, under CMIP5-RCP scenarios

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Performance indicators to characterize the water supply to meet the demands of the Lurin River Basin

Olortegui Artica,

Paredes Arquiola,

Ramos Fernández

et al. 2023

AQUA — Water Infrastructure, Ecosystems and Society

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Water scarcity and the planning of socioeconomic activities are challenges in the management of water resources. Therefore, the objective of this study was to use reliability indicators (RIs) to simulate management scenarios in the Lurin River Basin. First, flow rates for the period 1969–2019 were calculated using the EvalHid HBV hydrological model and SIMGES, both from the AQUATOOL decision support system, to simulate demands. The estimation of agricultural demand IRs was made under three conditions: that the deficits for 1, 2, and 10 years should not exceed 20–40, 40–60, and 80–100% of the annual demand. The goodness-of-fit indices obtained for flow calibration were 0.716, 0.89, and 0.901 for Nash indices (NSE), Nash natural logarithm (Ln NSE), and Pearson's correlation coefficient (R), representing the values of satisfactory, very good, and good, respectively. Agricultural demands present annual deficits of 59–96, 92–138, and 333–688% for 1, 2, and 10 years, so a 50 m3 reservoir is proposed to meet the IR. Thus, the information generated could be used to improve water resource management in the Lurin Basin

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Performance indicators to characterize the water supply to meet the demands of the Lurin River Basin

Olortegui Artica,

Paredes Arquiola,

Ramos Fernández

et al. 2023

AQUA — Water Infrastructure, Ecosystems and Society

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

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Proyección de los impactos del cambio climático en el caudal de la cuenca del río Lurín-Perú, bajo escenarios del CMIP5-RCP

Abstract: Proyección de los impactos del cambio climático en el caudal de la cuenca del río Lurín-Perú, bajo escenarios del CMIP5-RCPProjection of the impacts of climate change on the flow of the Lurín river basin-Peru, under CMIP5-RCP scenarios

Cited by 1 publication

References 14 publications

Performance indicators to characterize the water supply to meet the demands of the Lurin River Basin

Performance indicators to characterize the water supply to meet the demands of the Lurin River Basin

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