Woods SW, Powers AR III. Does hallucination perceptual modality impact psychosis risk?.Objective: Subthreshold perceptual abnormalities are commonly used to identify individuals at clinical high risk (CHR) for developing a psychotic disorder. Predictive validity for modality-specific perceptual abnormality severity on psychosis risk is unknown. Methods: We examined prospectively collected data from 164 individuals age 12-35 meeting criteria for CHR followed for 6-24 months or until conversion to psychosis. Using intake interview notes, baseline perceptual abnormality scores were split into auditory, visual, somatic/tactile, and olfactory/gustatory components, and auditory scores were further split into those for verbal vs non-verbal content. Relationships between perceptual abnormality characteristics and conversion were assessed with Cox proportional hazards regression and logistic regression. Results: Unusual thought content and paranoia were predictive of conversion, but no modality-specific perceptual abnormality score predicted conversion status or days to conversion. However, when auditory perceptual abnormalities were further categorized as verbal vs non-verbal, the severity of verbal experiences was predictive of conversion to psychosis (P = 0.007). Conclusions: Perceptual abnormality scores failed to meaningfully predict conversion to psychosis in either direction in this CHR sample. However, verbal auditory experiences may identify a group of CHR individuals at elevated risk of conversion. Further exploration of the relationship between phenomenological aspects of perceptual abnormalities and conversion risk is warranted.
Significant outcomes• Subclinical hallucinations and perceptual abnormalities do not predict risk of conversion among CHR populations.• Verbal auditory experiences may be uniquely associated with greater risk of conversion to psychotic disorders.
Limitations• As a retrospective study, severity scores for individual perceptual modalities were not recorded prospectively, but were generated per protocol from original study interview notes as a secondary analysis. Rater knowledge of conversion status was minimized prior to rescoring, but the possibility remains for slight bias owing to this methodology.• Research within the CHR population is often limited by poor retention rates, and this study was no exception. 26.5% of the 223 participants meeting criteria at baseline were lost to follow-up within 6 months.