We model strategic trading by a rent-seeking insider, who exchanges without being spotted, and propose a comprehensive theory of market non-anonymity. Several novel results are established. They depend on asset value proprieties, beliefs, inter-temporal choices, and investors' characteristics. In equilibrium, under a regulation mandating public trade revelation, disclosures may shift prices. If they do, uninformed manipulations arise only in some instances. Speci…cally, insiders constrained on asset holdings earn more than they would without such a disclosure rule. Consequently, mandating disclosures is unnecessary, as informative trades will be revealed voluntarily. This result reveals a previously unexplored link to the literature on (uncerti…ed/non-factual) announcements.Keywords: Mandatory vs. voluntary public disclosure, securities regulation, insider trading, market manipulation. JEL Classi…cation: D82,G12,G14,G38 I am grateful to Andres Carvajal, Jonathan Cave, Giovanni Cespa, Kose John, Herakles Polemarchakis, and Branko Urošević for their fruitful discussions. Comments from Franklin Allen, Pablo Beker, Ekkehart Boehmer, Andrea Bu¤a, Gilles Chemla, Joao Cocco, Pasquale Della Corte, James Dow, Peter Hammond, Cars Hommes, Gur Huberman, Charles Jones, Boyan Jovanovic, Pete Kyle, Paulo Parente, Mieszko Mazur, Raghu Rau, Stefano Sacchetto, Mark Salmon, Pedro Santa-Clara, Lucio Sarno, Elvira Sojli, Dezsö Szalay, Pedro Teles, Giorgio Valente, and Dimitri Vayanos, as well as seminar participants at the Public disclosure of inside statements always receives great attention in capital markets. Paradoxically, following the seminal work of Benabou and Laroque (1992), hereafter BL, on market manipulation and credibility, where insiders may produce false announcements and trade on the mispricing, there have been few attempts to develop conceptual models that study these strategic disclosures. Nowadays, the extent to which an inside statement conveys information is, more than ever, the object of a considerable debate. This is also true for statements that certify the undertaken trade, which the SEC and various European regimes, among others, require to be made public soon after the trade has been made. On this latter issue, three in ‡uential studies by Fishman and Hagerty (1995), Narayanan (1997), andHuddart et al. (2001), hereafter FH, JN, and HHL respectively, advance our understanding by focusing on big traders; but small-sized investors must also disclose trades publicly.
1This paper considers small traders-i.e., traders whose transactions cannot be spottedwho are subject to a so called capital constraint or risk limit, 2 and proposes a comprehensive theory of market non-anonymity. We examine public disclosure to interpret the e¤ects of mandatory and voluntary reports about undertaken trades, and establish several novel results, including: (1) Disclosures do not always a¤ect prices; (2) when they do, only in speci…c instances the investor, when uninformed, manipulates the market; and (3) for disclosure to b...