Quantifying restoration time of power and telecommunication lifelines after earthquakes using Bayesian belief network model

Iuliis, Melissa De; Kammouh, Omar; Cimellaro, Gian Paolo; Tesfamariam, Solomon

doi:10.1016/j.ress.2020.107320

Cited by 34 publications

(16 citation statements)

References 50 publications

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“…In addition to the fact that a reduction of passengers contributes to large losses in public transport systems, some studies pointed out that extra measures to provide a high level of hygiene in vehicles generated additional costs ( Eisenmann et al, 2021 ). From sustainability and resilience points of view ( De Iuliis et al, 2021 ), a few studies that explored the effects of COVID-19 on mobility showed that multimodality in transport should be pursued, instead of focusing on a single transport mode ( Benita, 2021 ).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Adapting Urban Transport Planning to the COVID-19 Pandemic: An Integrated Fermatean Fuzzy Model

Šimić

Ivanović

Djoric

et al. 2022

Sustainable Cities and Society

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The critical worldwide problem of adapting urban transport planning to COVID-19 is for the first time comprehensively addressed and solved in this study. It primarily aims to help transport planners increase the resilience of transport systems. Firstly, a multi-level decision-making hierarchy structure based on four main criteria and 17 sub-criteria is introduced for relevant stakeholders to provide a practical framework for assessing existing transport plans. Then, a three-stage integrated Fermatean fuzzy model for adapting urban transport planning to the pandemic is presented. The model hybridizes the method based on the removal effects of criteria (MEREC) and combined compromise solution (CoCoSo) method into a unique methodological framework under the Fermatean fuzzy environment. A case study provides decision-making guidelines on how to adapt transport plans to COVID-19 in the real-world context of Belgrade, Serbia. The research findings show that the pandemic significantly changed the priorities of transport planning strategies and measures. “Non-motorized travel” is now the best alternative since its numerous short-term measures lead to better transport service. The major advantages of the introduced model are higher flexibility and a more precise fusion of experts’ preference information. The integrated Fermatean fuzzy model could be used for adapting other emerging problems to COVID-19.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Adapting Urban Transport Planning to the COVID-19 Pandemic: An Integrated Fermatean Fuzzy Model

Šimić

Ivanović

Djoric

et al. 2022

Sustainable Cities and Society

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…The Cabinet Office, Government of Japan [6] released details of the 1995 Kobe (Japan) earthquake, which had a magnitude of 7.2 (on Richter scale) with 6437 fatalities and missing persons and seriously damaged major lifelines such as bridges, roads, and subways, Sichuan (China) earthquake in 2008 which had a magnitude of 7.9 (on Richter scale), claimed 80,000 lives and damage to infrastructures due to landslides and soil liquefaction [7], Ludian (China) in 2014 which had a 6.1-magnitude (on Richter scale) claimed 600 lives and damage to lifelines and property, Kathmandu (Nepal) in 2015 with 7.8-magnitude (on Richter scale) earthquake killed 9,000 people and severely damaging lifeline system [8] Chiapas (Mexico) 8.2-magnitude (on Richter scale) earthquake in 2017 with 61 persons killed and large scale destruction due to landslides [9]. Recently, many studies have been performed based on post earthquake scenario like performance assessment of Salyankot water supply project in nepal [10], risk-based assessment of infrastructure system [11,12], firefighting capacity evaluation of water distribution system [13], collective action in post-earthquake Nepal [14], estimation of restoration time of power and telecommunication lifelines [15], assessment of functionality of buildings [16], restoration of water system using discrete-event simulation [17].…”

Section: Study Areamentioning

confidence: 99%

Performance of Water Supply Lines in a Post-Earthquake Scenario

Hasan¹

2021

Pol. J. Environ. Stud.

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An earthquake can affect a vast category of buried lifelines performance such as water distribution system, sewage disposal system, petroleum enterprises, etc. In the present study, damage in terms of performance and working of water distribution system after severe earthquakes in a metropolitan city is assessed to develop serviceability priorities. A system simulation based on Kameda's model is also developed for obtaining useful information on the behavior of the water supply system in the pre-and post-earthquake scenario. The event modeled is the earthquake that is believed to produce extensive losses to life and property. The priorities strategy for rehabilitation of buried water distribution system is framed considering important factors such as damage in terms of leakage, reliable water demand after earthquake damage, and water distribution path length. In this study, repair management is applied systematically to restore the reliable water supply in a water distribution path. The recommendations are framed and priority of repair of the water distribution system of various paths of city zone is established such as pre-assuming a post-earthquake scenario, from the case study of one of the most important metropolitan cities of Asian country i.e., Delhi.

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“…The resilience of infrastructure systems and infrastructure interdependencies and the damage assessments are carried out with virtual city models for different seismic scenarios [23]. Some other frameworks have assessed the functionality of the critical infrastructure during and after disasters through performance-based design [24], a Bayesian network [25][26][27][28], fragility functions [27][28][29][30][31][32][33][34][35][36][37][38], and restoration curves [29]. Furthermore, a qualitative assessment can be carried out to assess the functionality of the critical infrastructures [39,40].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Resilience of Critical Infrastructure Systems: A Systematic Literature Review of Measurement Frameworks

et al. 2022

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Critical infrastructures such as transportation, power, telecommunication, water supply, and hospitals play a vital role in effectively managing post-disaster responses. The resilience of critical infrastructures should be incorporated in the planning and designing phase based on the risk assessment in a particular geographic area. However, the framework to assess critical infrastructure resilience (CIR) is variably conceptualised. Therefore, the objective of this study was to critically appraise the existing CIR assessment frameworks developed since the adoption of the Sendai Framework in 2015 with the hazard focus on earthquakes. The preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses (PRISMA) method was used for the selection of the 24 most relevant studies, and these were analysed to delineate existing frameworks, models, and concepts. The study found that there are wide-ranging disparities among the existing frameworks to assess the infrastructure resilience, and it has become a key challenge to prioritise resilience-based investment in the infrastructure sector. Furthermore, key attributes such as performance indicators, emergency aspects, and damage assessment need to be considered for different disaster phases—ex-ante, during, and ex-post—to improve the long-term resilience of critical infrastructure. Subsequently, an integrated and adaptable infrastructure resilience assessment framework is proposed for proper critical infrastructure planning and resilience-based investment decision making.

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Quantifying restoration time of power and telecommunication lifelines after earthquakes using Bayesian belief network model

Cited by 34 publications

References 50 publications

Adapting Urban Transport Planning to the COVID-19 Pandemic: An Integrated Fermatean Fuzzy Model

Adapting Urban Transport Planning to the COVID-19 Pandemic: An Integrated Fermatean Fuzzy Model

Performance of Water Supply Lines in a Post-Earthquake Scenario

Resilience of Critical Infrastructure Systems: A Systematic Literature Review of Measurement Frameworks

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