2021
DOI: 10.3390/toxins13040276
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Quantitative Modeling of Climate Change Impacts on Mycotoxins in Cereals: A Review

Abstract: Our climate is projected to change gradually over time. Mycotoxin occurrence in cereal grains is both directly and indirectly related to local weather and to climate changes. Direct routes are via the effects of precipitation, relative humidity, and temperatures on both fungal infection of the grain and mycotoxin formation. Indirect routes are via the effects of the wind dispersal of spores, insect attacks, and shifts in cereal grain phenology. This review aimed to investigate available modeling studies for cl… Show more

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Cited by 43 publications
(31 citation statements)
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“…The presence of mycotoxins in the fresh NFI corn confirmed the results of a previous study and survey on the mycotoxins in silages 15 . Liu and Van der Fels‐Klerx 16 reported that drought stress enhanced the production of aflatoxins by Aspergillus flavus in corn, and humid and warm conditions favored the production of DON by Fusarium species in wheat. Magan et al 17 .…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 88%
“…The presence of mycotoxins in the fresh NFI corn confirmed the results of a previous study and survey on the mycotoxins in silages 15 . Liu and Van der Fels‐Klerx 16 reported that drought stress enhanced the production of aflatoxins by Aspergillus flavus in corn, and humid and warm conditions favored the production of DON by Fusarium species in wheat. Magan et al 17 .…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 88%
“…Grain protein and mineral content decline at elevated CO 2 in major C3 photosynthetic cereal crops such as wheat, negatively impacting end-use quality and ultimately food security 5 8 . Furthermore, climate change is predicted to increase the risk of mycotoxin contamination associated with fungal diseases such as Fusarium Head Blight (FHB) 9 , and elevated CO 2 may provide a strain-specific pathogenic advantage on hosts with greater losses in nutritional content 10 . FHB outbreaks can substantially diminish grain yield and end-use quality due to sterile florets and withered, mycotoxin contaminated grain kernels 11 .…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Furthermore, a recent study by Albert et al [29], with a very similar acetonitrile:water approach, proved that this method is also suitable for analysis of aflatoxins in soil. This may be of particular interest, since climate change may cause a spread of Aspergillus to European regions where Fusarium is currently predominant [60,61].…”
Section: Trueness and Precisionmentioning
confidence: 99%