2020
DOI: 10.3390/ijerph17114147
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Rainfall-Induced Landslide Prediction Using Machine Learning Models: The Case of Ngororero District, Rwanda

Abstract: Landslides fall under natural, unpredictable and most distractive disasters. Hence, early warning systems of such disasters can alert people and save lives. Some of the recent early warning models make use of Internet of Things to monitor the environmental parameters to predict the disasters. Some other models use machine learning techniques (MLT) to analyse rainfall data along with some internal parameters to predict these hazards. The prediction capability of the existing models and systems are limited in te… Show more

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Cited by 51 publications
(20 citation statements)
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“…The reservoir water level and rainfall are the main external factors inducing landslide deformation (Chen et al, 2018). The infiltration of rainfall will destroy the structure of the landslide, reduce the stability of the landslide, change the gravity field of the landslide, soften the soil and cause the deformation of the landslide surface, and affect the stability of the landslide (Jeonget al, 2017;Kuradusenge et al, 2020); the fluctuation of reservoir water level will reduce the shear strength of the landslide and also lead the deformation of the landslide (Liao et al, 2019). The influence of rainfall and reservoir water level on slope body is slow and continuous.…”
Section: Prediction Of Fluctuation Term Displacement 421 Determinatio...mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The reservoir water level and rainfall are the main external factors inducing landslide deformation (Chen et al, 2018). The infiltration of rainfall will destroy the structure of the landslide, reduce the stability of the landslide, change the gravity field of the landslide, soften the soil and cause the deformation of the landslide surface, and affect the stability of the landslide (Jeonget al, 2017;Kuradusenge et al, 2020); the fluctuation of reservoir water level will reduce the shear strength of the landslide and also lead the deformation of the landslide (Liao et al, 2019). The influence of rainfall and reservoir water level on slope body is slow and continuous.…”
Section: Prediction Of Fluctuation Term Displacement 421 Determinatio...mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Steep slopes in several regions characterize Gakenke district where the slope angle can be more than 45 degrees. Other studies such as [51,63] used 5 slope classes, whereas in this study, we grouped the first two classes because landslide cases are very few in areas with slopes less than 15%. According to the data source [71,72], the slopes are categorized in four classes as indicated by Figure 3(c).…”
Section: Slopementioning
confidence: 99%
“…The activity took different durations depending on the site. The limit of rainfall simulation and duration was based on the rainfall events that induced landslides recently (Figure 4) or in the past [51]. Out of twentynine (29) experimental tests carried out on 11 plots, sixteen of them (55.5%) resulted in slope failure (or crack) as shown in Table 4.…”
Section: Simulationmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…In many regions, antecedent precipitation is an important aspect in the triggering of landslides, e.g., by increasing the soil moisture and therefore, reducing soil strength. Since no detailed information on antecedent periods for landslide-triggering events in Austria are available, a common length for an antecedent period for Central European regions has been applied from literature (Jemec and Komac 2012, Rahardjo et al 2019, Kuradusenge et al 2020). Based on these studies, a threshold of 5 days has been de ned and implemented in this analysis (BMLRT 2019).…”
Section: Merging the Torrential Event Database The Meteorological Database And The Lithological Databasementioning
confidence: 99%