We propose a novel well-test for in situ estimation of relative permeabilities under two-phase (oil-water) flow conditions. The test consists of three periods, (i) injection of water into an oil reservoir operating above bubble point pressure, (ii) a falloff test and (iii) a producing period. The producing period is critical as it yields production data that reflects changes in sandface mobility and thus is highly sensitive to the parameters used to model relative permeability curves, whereas, our results indicate that injection/falloff pressure data by themselves are not as reliable for defining relative permeability curves. We have developed optimization code based on the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm and coupled it with a commercial reservoir simulator to obtain a procedure for data analysis where the reservoir simulator is used as the forward model. By matching data by minimization of a weighted least squares objective function, we generate estimates of absolute permeability, relative permeabilities and the well skin factor. We show the method can be applied with either power law models or B-splines. We introduce a variable transformation that can be used to ensure that the estimated relative permeabilities are monotonic and concave up when B-splines are used.
Introduction
Numerous papers from the 1970's and 1980's discuss techniques for the estimation of relative permeability curves by matching pressure and rate (or displaced volume) data from laboratory core floods using an optimization algorithm to minimize a least squares type objective function[1,2,3,4]. Assuming power law relative permeability curves yields a small number of parameters to be estimated and a well-conditioned optimization problem. However, relative permeability curves may not be well represented by power law models. Because of this, various authors used splines, especially B-spines, to parameterize relative permeability curves, but then special techniques were required to regularize the optimization process and ensure that monotonic relative permeability curves are obtained[4].
Although many papers have also proposed using similar techniques to adjust relative permeability curves by matching long-time production data, our objective is to generate a procedure to estimate relative permeability curves from a well test which has a duration of a few hours to a very few days. Intuitively, to do this successfully, we should generate data that is sensitive to a wide range of saturations, i.e., generate data similar to that which can be obtained in a laboratory core flood. To do so, we propose an injection/falloff test followed by a production period. The idea is that, during the flow back period, the sandface will be exposed to a wide range of water saturations and the associated pressure and phase rate data or water cut data should be sufficient to obtain good estimates of relative permeability curves.
We compare results obtained from the proposed test with those obtained from a more standard injection falloff test. Even though accurate approximate analytical solutions for the injection and falloff pressure response for radial flow problems have been presented previously in the petroleum engineering literature[5,6,7,8,9], all data considered in this paper are analyzed by nonlinear regression using a commercial reservoir simulator as the forward model[10]. Of the analyical solutions for the injection/falloff pressure, the one provided by Levitan[7] is most general and most useful as it applies for a multirate injectivity test where the rate during one or more of the periods can be zero to simulate shutin periods for falloff testing. His solution, however, does not apply during a subsequent production period and thus can not be used to analyze the test proposed here.