Real-Time Contrail Monitoring and Mitigation Using CubeSat Constellations

Abstract

Contrails, or condensation trails, left by aircraft, significantly contribute to global warming by trapping heat in the Earth’s atmosphere. Despite their critical role in climate dynamics, the environmental impact of contrails remains underexplored. This research addresses this gap by focusing on the use of CubeSats for real-time contrail monitoring, specifically over major air routes such as the Europe–North Atlantic Corridor. The study proposes a 3 × 3 CubeSat constellation in highly eccentric orbits, designed to maximize coverage and data acquisition efficiency. Simulation results indicate that this configuration can provide nearly continuous monitoring with optimized satellite handovers, reducing blackout periods and ensuring robust multi-satellite visibility. A machine learning-based system integrating space-based humidity and temperature data to predict contrail formation and inform flight path adjustments is proposed, thereby mitigating environmental impact. The findings emphasize the potential of CubeSat constellations to revolutionize atmospheric monitoring practices, offering a cost-effective solution that aligns with global sustainability efforts, particularly the United Nations Sustainable Development Goal 13 (Climate Action). This research represents a significant step forward in understanding aviation’s non-CO2 climate impact and demonstrates the feasibility of real-time contrail mitigation through satellite technology.