2021
DOI: 10.4102/pythagoras.v42i1.630
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Reasoning under uncertainty within the context of probability education: A case study of preservice mathematics teachers

Abstract: Interpreting phenomena under uncertainty stands as a substantial cognitive activity in our daily life. Furthermore, in probability education research, there is a need for developing a unified model that involves several probabilistic conceptions. From this aspect, a central inquiry has been raised through this study: how do preservice mathematics teachers (PSMTs) reason under uncertainty? A multiple case study design was operated in which a purposive sample of PSMTs was selected to justify their reasoning in t… Show more

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Cited by 3 publications
(4 citation statements)
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“…The probability contexts survey (Elbehary, 2021) Those are seven different settings at which the probability is manifested. Choose and prioritize three of them based on their importance and frequent usage in our daily life situations:…”
Section: Funding Statementmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The probability contexts survey (Elbehary, 2021) Those are seven different settings at which the probability is manifested. Choose and prioritize three of them based on their importance and frequent usage in our daily life situations:…”
Section: Funding Statementmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The study participants were the student teachers who registered in the second, third, and fourth years of this preparation program in 2018/2019. They all had prior knowledge about theoretical, experimental, and conditional probability, either in secondary school or during their teacher education (see more details in Elbehary, 2021). Furthermore, the context of weather predictability was adapted upon Konold's (1989) study to approach PSMTs' R(in)P because it is familiar to the participant, and its classification as an intermediate level of difficulty when reasoning under uncertainty (Konold, 1989).…”
Section: Preliminary Validation Of the Hypothetical Frameworkmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Two more questions were presented to participants in addition to the mentioned one (seeElbehary, 2021); however, considering this paper limitations, merely results of this item were sharpened.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Several previous studies have shown that probability and statistics are widely applied in various fields of science and technology, such as health, insurance, politics, security, medicine, etc. (Chi, 2022;Elbehary, 2021;Junior, Neto, & Saito, 2022;Malovichko, 2021). Humans in the 21st century must understand something about probability and statistics (Milinkovi & Radovanovic, 2021).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%