“…Several studies have analyzed the runoff variation trend of the BRB in the past decades. The majority of these studies focused on the temporal and spatial distribution of the runoff and the potential impacts of changes in the runoff (Bi, Zhao, Xiao, Zhou, & Zhang, 2015; Jiang, Wang, Shen, Lu, & Ni, 2019; Liu, Liu, Lu, Duan, & Li, 2011; Yu, Pan, Liu, Chen, & He, 2017; Zhong, He, & Fu, 2013). Most of these studies used statistical methods to analyze the observed data, which directly reflect the changes in hydrological factors, but it is difficult to analyze the impact of future climate change on the runoff.…”